The data suggests caution when backing the Toronto Blue Jays in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as sunday games, the Toronto Blue Jays are just 415-442-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -7.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +7.5%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record415-442-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size858 games
ROI-7.5%
Units Won-64.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201433-34-00.0%-6.0%
201538-37-00.0%-3.3%
201631-41-00.0%-17.8%
201739-44-00.0%-10.3%
201832-34-10.0%-7.4%
201941-33-00.0%+5.8%
202038-37-00.0%-3.3%
202151-41-00.0%+5.8%
202235-43-00.0%-14.3%
202346-52-00.0%-10.4%
202431-46-00.0%-23.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Blue Jays' Sunday struggles stem from a combination of organizational philosophy and roster construction that consistently works against them on baseball's traditional finale day. Toronto has historically built their identity around power hitting and aggressive offensive approaches, but Sunday games often feature opposing teams' ace pitchers or well-rested bullpens after Saturday night usage. The Jays' feast-or-famine offensive style becomes particularly vulnerable when facing premium pitching with extra rest. Toronto's pitching staff construction also plays a significant role in these Sunday disappointments. The organization has frequently relied on depth pieces and spot starters who struggle in the heightened pressure environment of series-deciding games. Sunday contests often carry more weight psychologically, as teams look to avoid series sweeps or secure series victories, and the Blue Jays' mid-rotation arms have consistently wilted under this amplified scrutiny. The Rogers Centre's unique atmosphere on Sundays creates another layer of difficulty. Weekend crowds tend to be more family-oriented and less energetic than the rowdy weeknight crowds that have historically lifted Toronto's performance. This environmental shift subtly impacts a team that feeds off crowd energy. Bettors should target fading Toronto on Sundays when they're facing quality starting pitching, particularly in divisional matchups where series outcomes carry extra significance.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Toronto Blue Jays's ATS record as sunday games?

The Toronto Blue Jays have a 415-442-1 ATS record in Sunday games from 2014-2024. This translates to a 48.4% ATS win rate over this 11-year period.

Is betting on the Toronto Blue Jays as sunday games profitable?

No, betting on the Toronto Blue Jays in Sunday games has not been profitable, showing a -7.5% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the Blue Jays on Sundays against the spread.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Blue Jays' 48.4% ATS win rate in Sunday games is below the expected 50% break-even point and likely underperforms the league average. The -7.5% ROI suggests significantly worse performance than typical Sunday betting trends across MLB.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.