Toronto Blue Jays Medium Favorite (-3.5 to -7) Betting Trend

The Blue Jays' catastrophic performance as medium favorites stems from their organizational tendency to overperform expectations during regular stretches while failing to capitalize when positioned as clear betting favorites. This franchise has historically struggled with the psychological pressure that comes with elevated expectations, particularly in games where oddsmakers view them as significantly superior to their opponents. Toronto's roster construction often features streaky offensive players and inconsistent starting pitching depth, creating a volatile combination that rarely translates to consistent dominance against weaker competition. When favored by this margin, the Blue Jays frequently face teams playing with nothing to lose, while their own players can become complacent or press too hard to justify the betting line. The team's tendency to rely heavily on the long ball means they're particularly vulnerable in games where opponents employ patient, small-ball strategies that exploit Toronto's defensive inconsistencies. Their bullpen depth issues have also been exposed repeatedly in these spots, as managers often over-rely on key relievers when protecting leads they're expected to build. Bettors should aggressively fade Toronto as medium favorites, particularly in divisional games and day contests following night games when fatigue compounds their execution issues.