The public often underestimates the Toronto Blue Jays in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7), the Toronto Blue Jays hold a record of 121-32-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +51.0% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $78 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record121-32-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size153 games
ROI+51.0%
Units Won+78.0u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201411-1-00.0%+75.0%
20159-4-00.0%+32.2%
20167-2-00.0%+48.5%
201713-2-00.0%+65.5%
201810-0-00.0%+90.9%
201910-4-00.0%+36.4%
202011-3-00.0%+50.0%
202114-4-00.0%+48.5%
202213-5-00.0%+37.9%
202314-4-00.0%+48.5%
20249-3-00.0%+43.2%

Why This Trend Exists

The Blue Jays' exceptional performance as medium underdogs stems from their organizational philosophy of developing versatile, high-upside talent that often gets undervalued by oddsmakers. Toronto's front office has consistently built rosters with explosive offensive potential, particularly through power hitting and plate discipline, which creates the type of variance that can quickly flip games when they're not heavily favored. Their hitters tend to work deep counts and capitalize on mistakes, making them particularly dangerous against opposing starters who may be pressing to justify their team's favored status. The psychological element cannot be ignored either. When Toronto enters games as moderate underdogs, there's less pressure on young players to perform perfectly, allowing their natural athleticism and aggressive approach to flourish. The team's recent emphasis on analytics-driven game planning also means they're often better prepared than opponents expect, especially in matchups where the betting market hasn't fully accounted for favorable platoon splits or bullpen usage patterns. For bettors, the key insight is targeting Blue Jays games where they're catching plus-money against teams with overvalued starting pitching or questionable bullpen depth. This trend holds maximum value during interleague play and against American League East rivals where familiarity breeds contempt and tight spreads.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Toronto Blue Jays's ATS record as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7)?

The Toronto Blue Jays have an ATS record of 121-32-0 when listed as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7) from 2014-2024. This represents a 79.1% ATS win rate across 153 games in this betting situation.

Is betting on the Toronto Blue Jays as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Toronto Blue Jays as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7) has been highly profitable with a 51.0% ROI from 2014-2024. This exceptional return indicates strong value in backing the Blue Jays in this specific betting range.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly outperforms the league average, as most teams struggle to maintain profitability as underdogs. The Blue Jays' 79.1% ATS win rate and 51.0% ROI in this range represents elite-level performance that far exceeds typical underdog betting expectations.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.