Toronto Blue Jays Large Underdog (+7.5+) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Toronto Blue Jays in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as large underdog (+7.5+), the Toronto Blue Jays hold a record of 150-13-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +75.7% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $123 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 13-1-0 | 0.0% | +77.3% |
| 2015 | 13-1-0 | 0.0% | +77.3% |
| 2016 | 10-1-0 | 0.0% | +73.5% |
| 2017 | 16-1-0 | 0.0% | +79.7% |
| 2018 | 9-1-0 | 0.0% | +71.8% |
| 2019 | 15-1-0 | 0.0% | +79.0% |
| 2020 | 18-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 15-1-0 | 0.0% | +79.0% |
| 2022 | 11-2-0 | 0.0% | +61.5% |
| 2023 | 16-3-0 | 0.0% | +60.8% |
| 2024 | 14-1-0 | 0.0% | +78.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Blue Jays' exceptional performance as large underdogs stems from their organizational philosophy of never conceding games, even when facing significant disadvantages. Toronto's front office has consistently built rosters with veteran leadership and clutch performers who thrive in pressure situations. When the betting market writes them off with massive spreads, the team often responds with their most focused efforts. The psychological element cannot be understated. Blue Jays players have historically embraced the underdog mentality, particularly in hostile road environments where large spreads typically occur. Their offensive approach becomes more selective and situational, while their pitching staff tends to elevate performance when expectations are lowest. The team's depth allows manager decisions to be more aggressive with bullpen usage and pinch-hitting scenarios. Toronto's success in these spots also reflects market inefficiency. Bettors often overreact to recent poor performances or unfavorable matchups, creating inflated spreads that don't accurately reflect the team's true capabilities. The Blue Jays' veteran core understands how to manufacture runs and keep games competitive even when facing elite opposition. This trend carries the most weight during interleague play and high-profile series where public perception heavily influences line movement, creating the largest spreads and greatest value opportunities.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Toronto Blue Jays's ATS record as large underdog (+7.5+)?
The Toronto Blue Jays have an ATS record of 150-13-0 when listed as large underdogs (+7.5 or higher) from 2014-2024. This represents an exceptional 92.0% ATS win rate over 163 games.
Is betting on the Toronto Blue Jays as large underdog (+7.5+) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Toronto Blue Jays as large underdogs has been highly profitable with a 75.7% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite their 0.0% straight-up win rate in these games, they consistently cover the large spreads.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 92.0% ATS win rate significantly exceeds the typical league average of around 50% for large underdogs. The Blue Jays have been one of the most reliable large underdog bets in baseball over this period.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.