The data suggests caution when backing the Toronto Blue Jays in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away games, the Toronto Blue Jays are just 212-227-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -7.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +7.8%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record212-227-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size439 games
ROI-7.8%
Units Won-34.3u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201416-13-00.0%+5.3%
201526-19-00.0%+10.3%
201617-20-00.0%-12.3%
201720-22-00.0%-9.1%
201813-16-00.0%-14.4%
201915-17-00.0%-10.5%
202027-22-00.0%+5.2%
202123-23-00.0%-4.5%
202216-21-00.0%-17.4%
202323-31-00.0%-18.7%
202416-23-00.0%-21.7%

Why This Trend Exists

The Blue Jays' struggles as road underdogs stem from a combination of organizational philosophy and roster construction that doesn't translate well to hostile environments. Toronto has historically built around power hitting and relied heavily on Rogers Centre's unique dimensions, particularly the shorter foul territory that creates more offensive opportunities. When playing away from home, this offensive approach becomes less effective against opposing pitching staffs who know their home ballparks intimately. The psychological factor cannot be understated with this franchise. The Blue Jays often carry the weight of being Canada's only MLB team, creating additional pressure when playing in American markets where the atmosphere can be particularly charged against the visiting Canadians. This manifests in pressing at the plate and tentative defensive play, especially in crucial late-game situations. Toronto's bullpen construction has also been problematic on the road, where managers tend to be more aggressive with their relief usage. The Blue Jays have consistently struggled to develop reliable setup men who can handle high-leverage road situations, leading to blown leads and failed comeback attempts. The most actionable insight for bettors is to fade Toronto as road underdogs in divisional games, where familiarity breeds contempt and the psychological pressure intensifies. This trend matters most during summer months when the team's power-heavy approach should theoretically be at its peak effectiveness.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Toronto Blue Jays's ATS record as away games?

The Toronto Blue Jays have a 212-227-0 ATS record in away games from 2014-2024. This translates to a 48.3% ATS win rate over 439 total away games.

Is betting on the Toronto Blue Jays as away games profitable?

No, betting on the Toronto Blue Jays in away games has not been profitable. The team shows a -7.8% ROI, meaning bettors would have lost $7.80 for every $100 wagered over this 11-year period.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is below the expected 50% ATS baseline, with the Blue Jays covering the spread 1.7 percentage points less than average in away games. The negative ROI indicates consistent underperformance against betting expectations on the road.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.