Texas Rangers Home Underdog After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Texas Rangers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog after a win, the Texas Rangers hold a record of 92-21-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +55.4% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $63 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2015 | 10-5-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2016 | 11-1-0 | 0.0% | +75.0% |
| 2017 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 8-2-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2019 | 5-3-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2020 | 4-1-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2021 | 11-3-1 | 0.0% | +50.0% |
| 2022 | 16-1-0 | 0.0% | +79.7% |
| 2023 | 8-2-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2024 | 12-1-0 | 0.0% | +76.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Rangers' exceptional performance as home underdogs following victories stems from a potent combination of psychological momentum and market inefficiency. Texas has historically thrived when playing with house money after securing confidence-building wins, particularly at Globe Life Field where their offensive approach benefits from controlled atmospheric conditions and familiar sight lines. The Rangers' lineup construction tends to feature streaky power hitters who feed off positive energy, making them dangerous when entering games with recent success and reduced public expectations. Market dynamics play a crucial role in this trend's sustainability. Oddsmakers and the betting public often overreact to recent opponent performances while undervaluing the Rangers' home field advantages and post-win psychological state. Texas has consistently demonstrated an ability to elevate their play when dismissed, particularly when their pitching staff can work with leads generated by opportunistic hitting. The organization's culture under recent management has emphasized resilience and taking advantage of perceived disrespect from outside observers. Bettors should target this spot specifically when the Rangers are catching plus-money after defeating quality opponents, as the market tends to overcompensate for their underdog status while ignoring their proven ability to build on momentum at home.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Texas Rangers's ATS record as home underdog after a win?
The Texas Rangers have an outstanding 92-21-1 ATS record as home underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This represents a remarkable 81.4% ATS win rate over 114 games.
Is betting on the Texas Rangers as home underdog after a win profitable?
Yes, betting on the Texas Rangers as home underdogs after a win has been extremely profitable with a 55.4% ROI. This system has generated consistent returns over the 10-year period despite the team's overall struggles.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 81.4% ATS success rate significantly outperforms the typical 50% league average for ATS betting. The Rangers' performance in this specific situation ranks among the most profitable betting trends in MLB.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.