The data suggests caution when backing the Texas Rangers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Texas Rangers are just 16-69-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -64.1% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +64.1%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record16-69-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size85 games
ROI-64.1%
Units Won-54.5u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-4-00.0%-36.4%
20150-3-00.0%-100.0%
20161-11-00.0%-84.1%
20171-5-00.0%-68.2%
20181-9-00.0%-80.9%
20193-7-00.0%-42.7%
20203-5-00.0%-28.4%
20211-6-00.0%-72.7%
20220-4-00.0%-100.0%
20231-9-00.0%-80.9%
20243-6-00.0%-36.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Rangers' struggles as road favorites following losses stem from a combination of organizational culture and roster construction that has plagued the franchise for years. Texas has historically built teams around offensive firepower rather than pitching depth, creating a volatile dynamic where momentum swings dramatically impact performance. When coming off a loss, this offensive-first mentality often translates to pressing at the plate, leading to poor at-bats and extended innings that expose their typically thin bullpen on the road. The psychological element cannot be understated with Texas. The franchise has endured multiple heartbreaking playoff exits and prolonged rebuilding periods, fostering a mentality where adversity compounds quickly. As road favorites after losses, the Rangers face the dual pressure of both bouncing back and justifying their favored status in hostile environments. Their pitching staff, often constructed with budget constraints, lacks the depth to consistently deliver quality starts that would allow their offense to operate without pressure. The Rangers' American League West competition has consistently featured strong home clubs like Houston and Oakland, making road assignments particularly challenging when Texas enters with damaged confidence. Smart bettors should target Rangers opponents in this exact scenario, particularly when the home team offers plus-money value. This trend matters most during divisional road series where familiarity breeds contempt and home-field advantage peaks.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Texas Rangers's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?

The Texas Rangers have a 16-69-0 ATS record as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents an 18.8% ATS win rate over 85 games.

Is betting on the Texas Rangers as away favorite after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the Texas Rangers as away favorites after a loss is not profitable. The -64.1% ROI indicates significant losses, making this one of the worst betting situations for the Rangers.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is well below the typical 50% league average for ATS records. The Rangers' 18.8% ATS win rate in this situation represents one of the most consistently poor betting trends in baseball.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.