Texas Rangers After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Texas Rangers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a win, the Texas Rangers are just 204-216-2 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -7.3% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +7.3%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 13-24-0 | 0.0% | -32.9% |
| 2015 | 21-26-0 | 0.0% | -14.7% |
| 2016 | 19-22-0 | 0.0% | -11.5% |
| 2017 | 14-17-0 | 0.0% | -13.8% |
| 2018 | 14-19-0 | 0.0% | -19.0% |
| 2019 | 15-16-1 | 0.0% | -7.6% |
| 2020 | 16-16-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2021 | 25-22-1 | 0.0% | +1.6% |
| 2022 | 28-11-0 | 0.0% | +37.1% |
| 2023 | 16-22-0 | 0.0% | -19.6% |
| 2024 | 23-21-0 | 0.0% | -0.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Rangers' struggles after victories stem from a combination of psychological letdowns and strategic adjustments by opposing teams. Texas has historically been a franchise that relies heavily on momentum and confidence, making them particularly vulnerable to the emotional crash that often follows big wins. When the Rangers capture a statement victory, especially against quality opponents, they tend to approach the next game with reduced intensity and focus. This pattern becomes more pronounced given Texas's organizational culture of celebrating individual achievements and milestones. The team often struggles to maintain the same level of preparation and urgency after positive results, leading to flat performances against teams that are now extra motivated to bounce back. Additionally, the Rangers' pitching staff has shown a tendency to overthink their approach after dominant outings, resulting in less aggressive attack zones and increased walk rates in subsequent starts. The franchise's inconsistent leadership over the years has also contributed to this trend, as different coaching philosophies have failed to instill the mental discipline needed to sustain success across consecutive games. Bettors should target fading the Rangers specifically after they win as road favorites, where the combination of travel fatigue and overconfidence creates the most exploitable spots.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Texas Rangers's ATS record as after a win?
The Texas Rangers have a 204-216-2 ATS record after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to a 48.6% ATS win rate over 422 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Texas Rangers as after a win profitable?
No, betting on the Texas Rangers after a win is not profitable. The -7.3% ROI indicates bettors would lose $7.30 for every $100 wagered over this 11-year period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is below the expected 50% baseline for ATS betting. The Rangers' 48.6% ATS win rate after wins suggests they consistently fail to cover spreads when coming off victories.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.