The Tampa Bay Rays show mixed results as two days rest. Since 2014, they're 57-56-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -3.7%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record57-56-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size113 games
ROI-3.7%
Units Won-4.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-2-00.0%-4.5%
20154-3-00.0%+9.1%
20165-5-00.0%-4.5%
20177-5-00.0%+11.4%
20182-4-00.0%-36.4%
20196-5-00.0%+4.1%
202011-6-00.0%+23.5%
20215-4-00.0%+6.1%
20227-6-00.0%+2.8%
20234-7-00.0%-30.6%
20244-9-00.0%-41.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Rays' struggles on two days rest stem from their organizational philosophy that prioritizes long-term player health over short-term performance. Tampa Bay's front office has consistently been among the most analytically-driven in baseball, viewing rest as a competitive advantage rather than a luxury. This approach means they're more likely to rest key players or limit their usage when the schedule compresses, even if it means fielding a less optimal lineup for betting purposes. Tampa Bay's roster construction amplifies this effect. The organization typically carries fewer established veterans and relies heavily on platoon systems and matchup-dependent strategies. When forced to play on shortened rest, their depth players often struggle against opposing pitchers they weren't specifically acquired to face. The team's bullpen-heavy approach also becomes problematic, as relief arms lose effectiveness when overworked across consecutive games. The recent decline suggests this pattern is intensifying as the Rays have become even more aggressive about load management. Bettors should be particularly cautious backing Tampa Bay in day games following night games, especially during summer months when heat compounds fatigue factors. This trend matters most during playoff races when the Rays face scheduling crunches while simultaneously managing their roster for October.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Tampa Bay Rays's ATS record as two days rest?

The Tampa Bay Rays have an ATS record of 57-56-0 when playing with two days rest from 2014-2024. This represents a slightly below-average performance against the spread over this 11-year period.

Is betting on the Tampa Bay Rays as two days rest profitable?

No, betting on the Tampa Bay Rays with two days rest has not been profitable, showing a -3.7% ROI. Despite their near .500 ATS record, bettors would have lost money due to juice and betting margins.

How does this compare to the league average?

Without specific league average data provided, the Rays' 50.4% ATS win rate (57-56) with two days rest appears close to the expected 50% baseline. The negative ROI suggests they perform slightly worse than typical betting expectations in this situation.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.