Tampa Bay Rays Away Underdog After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Tampa Bay Rays in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog after a win, the Tampa Bay Rays hold a record of 75-15-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +59.1% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $53 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2015 | 11-1-0 | 0.0% | +75.0% |
| 2016 | 8-1-0 | 0.0% | +69.7% |
| 2017 | 5-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 7-1-0 | 0.0% | +67.0% |
| 2019 | 11-1-0 | 0.0% | +75.0% |
| 2020 | 8-2-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2021 | 7-2-0 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
| 2022 | 6-4-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2023 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 5-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Rays' exceptional performance as road underdogs following victories stems from their organizational philosophy of maximizing value in overlooked situations. Tampa Bay has consistently operated as one of baseball's most analytically-driven franchises, excelling at identifying inefficiencies in betting markets. When oddsmakers undervalue them on the road after a win, the Rays' disciplined approach to roster construction and game management creates significant edges. This trend reflects Tampa Bay's ability to maintain momentum while others expect regression. The franchise's emphasis on versatile players and strategic flexibility allows them to adapt quickly to different ballparks and matchups. Their pitching staff, built around depth rather than star power, often performs better when expectations are lowered. The psychological aspect cannot be ignored either – this team thrives when doubted, and the underdog role after a victory creates the perfect storm of confidence meeting low public expectations. The Rays' front office has historically constructed rosters that perform well in small sample situations, making them particularly dangerous in these specific scenarios. Bettors should pay closest attention to this trend when Tampa Bay faces divisional opponents on the road, where their familiarity with opposing lineups combines with the market's tendency to overreact to recent results.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Tampa Bay Rays's ATS record as away underdog after a win?
The Tampa Bay Rays have an outstanding 75-15-0 ATS record as away underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to an 83.3% ATS win rate over 90 games.
Is betting on the Tampa Bay Rays as away underdog after a win profitable?
Yes, betting on the Tampa Bay Rays as away underdogs after a win has been highly profitable with a 59.1% ROI. This represents one of the most profitable betting trends in baseball over the past decade.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance significantly exceeds the league average, as most teams struggle to maintain even a 52-55% ATS win rate in any specific situation. The Rays' 83.3% success rate in this spot is exceptionally rare and well above typical underdog performance.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.