The public often underestimates the Tampa Bay Rays in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog, the Tampa Bay Rays hold a record of 197-34-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +62.8% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $145 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record197-34-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size231 games
ROI+62.8%
Units Won+145.1u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201417-4-00.0%+54.5%
201523-2-00.0%+75.6%
201619-1-00.0%+81.4%
201715-0-00.0%+90.9%
201820-4-00.0%+59.1%
201922-3-00.0%+68.0%
202026-5-00.0%+60.1%
202119-3-00.0%+64.9%
202214-5-00.0%+40.7%
20239-5-00.0%+22.7%
202413-2-00.0%+65.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Rays' exceptional performance as road underdogs stems from their organizational philosophy of maximizing value in every situation. Tampa Bay has consistently operated with lower payrolls, forcing them to develop superior analytical approaches and tactical flexibility that thrives when expectations are lowest. Their front office excels at identifying market inefficiencies, and this extends to how they prepare teams for games where oddsmakers undervalue their chances. The franchise's "opener" strategy and aggressive bullpen usage creates unpredictable matchup advantages that opposing teams struggle to prepare for at home. When playing as road underdogs, the Rays often face teams that may overlook their tactical sophistication, assuming the betting line reflects true talent disparity. Tampa Bay's players have embraced an underdog mentality that translates into focused, disciplined performances when the pressure is off. The key insight for bettors is recognizing that Tampa Bay's analytical edge becomes most pronounced when public perception lags behind their actual capabilities. This trend carries maximum value during stretches when the Rays are performing well but haven't yet gained widespread recognition, particularly in series against higher-payroll teams where casual bettors gravitate toward the perceived favorite.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Tampa Bay Rays's ATS record as away underdog?

The Tampa Bay Rays have an outstanding 197-34-0 ATS record as away underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents an 85.3% ATS win rate over 231 total games in this situation.

Is betting on the Tampa Bay Rays as away underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Tampa Bay Rays as away underdogs has been extremely profitable with a 62.8% ROI from 2014-2024. This exceptional return makes them one of the most profitable betting situations in MLB over this period.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly outpaces the league average, as most teams cover around 50% ATS in any given situation. The Rays' 85.3% ATS rate as away underdogs is exceptionally rare and well above typical expectations.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.