St. Louis Cardinals Two Days Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the St. Louis Cardinals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as two days rest, the St. Louis Cardinals are just 52-53-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -5.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +5.5%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-7-0 | 0.0% | -57.6% |
| 2015 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 3-5-0 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
| 2017 | 5-6-0 | 0.0% | -13.2% |
| 2018 | 9-5-0 | 0.0% | +22.7% |
| 2019 | 4-1-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2020 | 8-3-0 | 0.0% | +38.8% |
| 2021 | 7-4-1 | 0.0% | +21.5% |
| 2022 | 1-5-0 | 0.0% | -68.2% |
| 2023 | 5-9-0 | 0.0% | -31.8% |
| 2024 | 5-5-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Cardinals' mediocre performance on two days rest reflects the organization's traditional emphasis on veteran leadership and methodical preparation routines. St. Louis has historically built rosters around experienced players who thrive on consistent rhythms rather than quick turnarounds. This approach works well over a full season but creates vulnerabilities when facing compressed schedules that disrupt their established patterns. The team's pitching philosophy compounds this challenge. Cardinals starters typically work deeper into games than league average, meaning their bullpen often carries fatigue into these situations. When facing teams on similar rest, St. Louis frequently finds itself at a tactical disadvantage against more analytically-driven organizations that better optimize their roster construction for various rest scenarios. The recent volatility between seasons suggests this trend is becoming less predictable as the organization modernizes its approach under newer front office leadership. Their traditional "Cardinal Way" of doing things is evolving, making historical patterns less reliable indicators of future performance. This trend matters most when the Cardinals face division rivals who know their tendencies well, particularly late in the season when every game carries playoff implications and opposing managers can exploit St. Louis's preference for routine over adaptability.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the St. Louis Cardinals's ATS record as two days rest?
The St. Louis Cardinals have a 52-53-1 ATS record when playing with two days rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 49.5% ATS win rate over 106 games.
Is betting on the St. Louis Cardinals as two days rest profitable?
No, betting on the Cardinals with two days rest has not been profitable, showing a -5.5% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 49.5% ATS win rate falls short of the 52.4% needed to break even.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is slightly below the typical league average for ATS records, which generally hovers around 50%. The Cardinals' 49.5% ATS rate with two days rest indicates modest underperformance in this situation.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.