The public often underestimates the St. Louis Cardinals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as large underdog (+7.5+), the St. Louis Cardinals hold a record of 141-9-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +79.5% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $119 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record141-9-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size150 games
ROI+79.5%
Units Won+119.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20148-1-00.0%+69.7%
201510-1-00.0%+73.5%
201616-1-00.0%+79.7%
201715-0-00.0%+90.9%
20188-1-00.0%+69.7%
201913-1-00.0%+77.3%
202014-0-00.0%+90.9%
202113-0-00.0%+90.9%
202210-1-00.0%+73.5%
202316-2-00.0%+69.7%
202418-1-00.0%+80.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Cardinals' exceptional performance as large underdogs stems from their organizational culture of resilience and systematic approach to adversity. When facing significant point spreads, St. Louis typically finds itself in situations where expectations are lowered, allowing players to compete without the pressure that often accompanies favored status. This psychological freedom frequently translates into more aggressive, loose play that can catch opponents off-guard. The franchise's emphasis on fundamentals and situational baseball becomes magnified in underdog scenarios. Cardinals players historically excel at manufacturing runs through small-ball tactics, timely hitting, and capitalizing on opponent mistakes—skills that become more valuable when trailing or facing superior competition. Their veteran leadership and playoff experience create a team that rarely panics in difficult situations, maintaining composure that allows them to stay competitive even when outmatched on paper. The key insight for bettors is recognizing that St. Louis often performs best when written off by oddsmakers and the public. Their systematic approach to the game creates consistent value in spots where emotions and recency bias drive lines. This trend carries the most weight during interleague play and against high-profile opponents where public perception inflates spreads beyond the Cardinals' actual competitive disadvantage.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the St. Louis Cardinals's ATS record as large underdog (+7.5+)?

The St. Louis Cardinals have an ATS record of 141-9-0 when they are large underdogs of +7.5 points or more from 2014-2024. This represents an exceptional 94% ATS win rate over this 10-year period.

Is betting on the St. Louis Cardinals as large underdog (+7.5+) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Cardinals as large underdogs has been extremely profitable with a 79.5% ROI. Despite winning only 0.0% of games outright in these situations, they consistently cover the spread at a remarkable rate.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly exceeds league average, as most teams cover the spread around 50% of the time. The Cardinals' 94% ATS rate as large underdogs represents one of the most dominant betting trends in recent sports history.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.