The St. Louis Cardinals show mixed results as home vs division rival. Since 2014, they're 66-65-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -3.8%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record66-65-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size131 games
ROI-3.8%
Units Won-5.0u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20143-10-00.0%-55.9%
20157-9-00.0%-16.5%
20167-2-00.0%+48.5%
20176-4-00.0%+14.6%
20186-7-00.0%-11.9%
20198-2-00.0%+52.7%
20207-7-00.0%-4.5%
20216-3-00.0%+27.3%
20224-9-00.0%-41.3%
20234-4-00.0%-4.5%
20248-8-00.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Cardinals' middling performance against division rivals at Busch Stadium reflects the unique dynamics of NL Central competition, where familiarity breeds tactical adjustments that often neutralize home-field advantages. St. Louis has historically relied on strong pitching and situational hitting, but division opponents like the Cubs, Brewers, and Pirates see Cardinals starters multiple times per season, allowing them to develop specific game plans that exploit tendencies. The tight divisional races common in the NL Central also mean visiting teams arrive with heightened motivation, particularly late in seasons when playoff positioning is at stake. Busch Stadium's pitcher-friendly dimensions typically favor the Cardinals' approach, but division rivals understand how to manufacture runs in this environment through small-ball tactics and patient plate approaches. The psychological factor of playing spoiler against a traditional powerhouse also elevates visiting division teams' intensity levels, creating more competitive games where the home favorite doesn't cover as expected. Bettors should be most cautious backing St. Louis as home favorites against division opponents during September pennant races, when desperation creates the most unpredictable outcomes and visiting teams play with nothing-to-lose mentality.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the St. Louis Cardinals's ATS record as home vs division rival?

The St. Louis Cardinals have a 66-65-0 ATS record when playing at home against division rivals from 2014-2024. This represents a slightly below-average performance against the spread in these matchups.

Is betting on the St. Louis Cardinals as home vs division rival profitable?

No, betting on the St. Louis Cardinals as home favorites against division rivals is not profitable. The team has generated a -3.8% ROI over this period, meaning bettors would lose money long-term.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is slightly below the theoretical 50% break-even rate, with the Cardinals covering 50.4% of the time. The negative ROI indicates underperformance relative to typical betting expectations in divisional home games.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.