St. Louis Cardinals Home Underdog After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the St. Louis Cardinals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog after a win, the St. Louis Cardinals hold a record of 81-26-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +44.5% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $48 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 7-2-0 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
| 2015 | 9-3-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2016 | 5-6-0 | 0.0% | -13.2% |
| 2017 | 9-2-0 | 0.0% | +56.2% |
| 2018 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2019 | 9-1-0 | 0.0% | +71.8% |
| 2020 | 9-3-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2021 | 7-2-0 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
| 2022 | 6-1-0 | 0.0% | +63.6% |
| 2023 | 8-2-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2024 | 10-1-0 | 0.0% | +73.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Cardinals' exceptional performance as home underdogs following wins stems from a perfect storm of psychological and situational advantages that oddsmakers consistently undervalue. When St. Louis enters Busch Stadium as an underdog after a victory, they're typically facing a superior opponent on paper, yet the recent win provides crucial momentum and confidence that neutralizes much of that talent gap. The psychological dynamic is particularly potent for a franchise steeped in winning tradition. Cardinals players respond exceptionally well to the perceived disrespect of being home underdogs, especially when riding the emotional high of a recent victory. This creates an "us against the world" mentality that historically brings out their best performance. The team's veteran leadership and organizational culture of resilience amplifies this effect, as players channel the underdog status into focused execution rather than pressing. From a strategic standpoint, manager decisions become sharper in these spots. The combination of home field advantage and recent success often leads to more aggressive bullpen usage and tactical decisions, while opposing teams may approach the game with overconfidence given their favored status. This trend carries maximum weight when the Cardinals are moderate home underdogs (+110 to +150) following quality wins against decent competition, as these scenarios best capture the psychological and strategic elements driving their success.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the St. Louis Cardinals's ATS record as home underdog after a win?
The St. Louis Cardinals have an outstanding 81-26-0 ATS record as home underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This represents a 75.7% ATS win rate over 107 games.
Is betting on the St. Louis Cardinals as home underdog after a win profitable?
Yes, betting on the Cardinals as home underdogs after a win has been highly profitable with a 44.5% ROI. This trend has generated consistent returns over an 11-year period with a large sample size.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 75.7% ATS win rate significantly outperforms the typical 50% league average for ATS betting. The Cardinals' performance in this specific situation ranks among the most profitable betting trends in baseball.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.