St. Louis Cardinals Away vs Division Rival Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the St. Louis Cardinals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away vs division rival, the St. Louis Cardinals are just 49-79-2 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -26.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +26.9%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-7-0 | 0.0% | -57.6% |
| 2015 | 6-15-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2016 | 5-9-0 | 0.0% | -31.8% |
| 2017 | 4-8-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2018 | 2-7-0 | 0.0% | -57.6% |
| 2019 | 4-6-1 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2020 | 5-5-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2021 | 8-5-1 | 0.0% | +17.5% |
| 2022 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2023 | 3-12-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2024 | 9-3-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Cardinals' struggles as road underdogs against division rivals stem from a complex web of familiarity and pressure dynamics that plague many veteran organizations. When facing NL Central opponents on the road, St. Louis often enters as betting underdogs precisely because they're playing quality divisional teams in hostile environments where every series carries playoff implications. The Cardinals' traditional approach of grinding out wins through fundamentals and pitching depth becomes less effective when facing teams that know their tendencies intimately and can exploit weaknesses developed through 19 annual meetings. The psychological burden of defending their reputation as a perennial contender adds another layer of complexity. Division road games carry heightened intensity, and when the betting market doesn't favor them, the Cardinals often press to prove doubters wrong rather than executing their methodical game plan. This manifests in aggressive base-running decisions and pitchers attacking the strike zone when patience might serve them better. The recent uptick suggests potential value exists when this trend appears to be breaking down, particularly early in seasons when divisional familiarity hasn't fully developed. This pattern matters most during April and May series when teams are still establishing their identities and the Cardinals haven't yet settled into their traditional rhythm against familiar foes.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the St. Louis Cardinals's ATS record as away vs division rival?
The St. Louis Cardinals have a 49-79-2 ATS record when playing away against division rivals from 2014-2024. This translates to a 38.2% ATS win rate over 130 total games.
Is betting on the St. Louis Cardinals as away vs division rival profitable?
No, betting on the Cardinals as away underdogs against division rivals is not profitable. The -26.9% ROI indicates significant losses, with bettors losing approximately 27 cents for every dollar wagered.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is well below the expected 50% league average for ATS betting. The Cardinals' 38.2% ATS win rate in this situation represents one of the more consistently poor betting trends in baseball.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.