The data suggests caution when backing the St. Louis Cardinals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a win, the St. Louis Cardinals are just 167-216-2 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -16.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +16.8%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record167-216-2
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size385 games
ROI-16.8%
Units Won-64.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20149-16-00.0%-31.3%
201514-20-00.0%-21.4%
201614-18-00.0%-16.5%
201713-24-00.0%-32.9%
20189-27-00.0%-52.3%
201922-19-10.0%+2.4%
202024-17-00.0%+11.8%
202114-22-10.0%-25.8%
202210-12-00.0%-13.2%
202317-24-00.0%-20.8%
202421-17-00.0%+5.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Cardinals' struggles after victories stem from a combination of organizational complacency and the psychological letdown that often accompanies success-driven teams. St. Louis has historically operated under a "Cardinal Way" philosophy that emphasizes consistency and professionalism, but this same culture can breed overconfidence following wins. Players and coaching staff may subconsciously ease up on preparation or intensity, assuming their proven systems will carry them through the next game. The team's veteran-heavy rosters during much of this sample period likely contributed to this pattern. Experienced players sometimes coast on reputation and past success, particularly after validating performances. Additionally, the Cardinals' tendency to rely on fundamentals over explosive talent means they're more susceptible to flat performances when mental focus wavers. Their methodical approach works well when locked in but becomes predictable when execution drops even slightly. Sharp bettors should target fading the Cardinals as road favorites after wins, especially against divisional opponents who know their tendencies well. The psychological edge diminishes quickly in familiar matchups where opponents have extensive scouting reports. This trend carries the most weight during mid-season stretches when playoff positioning feels secure, as urgency naturally decreases and the temptation to mentally relax grows stronger.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the St. Louis Cardinals's ATS record as after a win?

The St. Louis Cardinals have a 167-216-2 ATS record after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to a poor 43.6% ATS win rate in this situation.

Is betting on the St. Louis Cardinals as after a win profitable?

No, betting on the Cardinals after a win is not profitable, showing a -16.8% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. This represents consistent losses for bettors backing St. Louis in this spot.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly below the expected 50% break-even rate for ATS betting. The Cardinals have been one of the worst 'bounce-back' teams, consistently failing to cover spreads after victories.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.