Seattle Mariners Home Favorite After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Seattle Mariners in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite after a loss, the Seattle Mariners are just 18-82-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -65.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +65.6%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 5-4-0 | 0.0% | +6.1% |
| 2015 | 1-6-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
| 2016 | 0-10-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 3-8-0 | 0.0% | -47.9% |
| 2018 | 1-6-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
| 2019 | 1-6-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
| 2020 | 1-8-0 | 0.0% | -78.8% |
| 2021 | 3-5-0 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
| 2022 | 2-7-0 | 0.0% | -57.6% |
| 2023 | 1-10-0 | 0.0% | -82.6% |
| 2024 | 0-12-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Mariners' devastating performance as home favorites after losses reveals a franchise plagued by psychological fragility and inconsistent roster construction throughout this period. Seattle's organizational culture has historically struggled with adversity, particularly when expectations are elevated through favorable betting lines. The team's inability to bounce back at home suggests deeper issues with leadership and mental toughness that have persisted across multiple seasons and coaching staffs. The franchise's developmental approach during these years often left them with young, inexperienced players who couldn't handle the pressure of being expected to win after suffering defeats. Seattle's pitching staff, frequently rebuilt with unproven arms, consistently failed to provide the stability needed for bounce-back performances. The team's offensive approach also became predictable and one-dimensional when facing quality opponents who had just demonstrated their capability by beating them previously. Home field advantage meant nothing for a Mariners squad that often appeared overwhelmed by their own ballpark's atmosphere when carrying the burden of expectations. The psychological weight of being favored after already disappointing fans created a toxic cycle of underperformance. This trend matters most when Seattle faces divisional opponents in crucial series, where the emotional stakes amplify their historical inability to respond to adversity with authority.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Seattle Mariners's ATS record as home favorite after a loss?
The Seattle Mariners have an 18-82-0 ATS record as home favorites after a loss from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 18% of these situations. This represents one of the worst ATS trends in baseball over this period.
Is betting on the Seattle Mariners as home favorite after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Seattle Mariners as home favorites after a loss is extremely unprofitable with a -65.6% ROI. Bettors would have lost nearly two-thirds of their investment following this trend over the past decade.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than the league average, as most teams cover the spread around 50% of the time in similar situations. The Mariners' 18% cover rate in this spot is exceptionally poor compared to typical MLB trends.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.