The data suggests caution when backing the Seattle Mariners in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as favorite after 3+ game losing streak, the Seattle Mariners are just 73-340-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -66.3% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +66.3%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record73-340-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size413 games
ROI-66.3%
Units Won-273.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201413-19-00.0%-22.4%
20156-28-00.0%-66.3%
20166-40-00.0%-75.1%
20175-39-00.0%-78.3%
201810-31-00.0%-53.4%
20195-24-00.0%-67.1%
20204-26-00.0%-74.5%
202111-29-00.0%-47.5%
20224-34-00.0%-79.9%
20236-28-00.0%-66.3%
20243-42-00.0%-87.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Mariners' struggles as favorites following extended losing streaks stem from a franchise culture that has historically crumbled under pressure rather than bounced back with resilience. When Seattle enters a game as the betting favorite after dropping three or more consecutive contests, they're typically facing a weaker opponent that should theoretically provide an easier path to victory. However, this creates a dangerous psychological trap where the team presses too hard to end their skid, leading to tight, mistake-prone baseball. Seattle's organizational approach has long emphasized process over results, which works well during routine stretches but becomes counterproductive when urgency mounts. Players tend to abandon their patient hitting approach, swinging at bad pitches in desperate attempts to break through offensively. The pitching staff, meanwhile, often nibbles around the strike zone instead of attacking hitters, extending innings and creating additional pressure situations they're ill-equipped to handle. The franchise's playoff drought mentality compounds these issues, as even routine losing streaks feel magnified in Seattle's baseball-starved market. This psychological weight manifests most clearly when the team should have every advantage on paper. This trend carries the most significance during the final two months of seasons when playoff implications intensify the psychological pressure that has historically derailed Seattle's bounce-back attempts.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Seattle Mariners's ATS record as favorite after 3+ game losing streak?

The Seattle Mariners have an ATS record of 73-340-0 when favored after a 3+ game losing streak from 2014-2024. This represents a 17.7% cover rate over 413 games.

Is betting on the Seattle Mariners as favorite after 3+ game losing streak profitable?

No, betting on the Mariners as favorites after 3+ game losing streaks is extremely unprofitable with a -66.3% ROI. This trend has lost money consistently over the 11-year period.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than typical MLB trends, as most teams cover around 50% ATS. The Mariners' 17.7% cover rate in this situation is exceptionally poor compared to league standards.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.