The data suggests caution when backing the San Francisco Giants in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home vs division rival, the San Francisco Giants are just 60-68-2 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -10.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +10.5%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record60-68-2
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size130 games
ROI-10.5%
Units Won-13.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20146-11-00.0%-32.6%
20156-4-00.0%+14.6%
201611-4-00.0%+40.0%
20173-5-00.0%-28.4%
20184-5-00.0%-15.2%
20195-6-00.0%-13.2%
20204-4-00.0%-4.5%
20216-6-00.0%-4.5%
20223-7-00.0%-42.7%
20234-9-10.0%-41.3%
20248-7-10.0%+1.8%

Why This Trend Exists

The Giants' mediocre divisional home performance stems from the unique psychological dynamics of NL West rivalries, where familiarity breeds both contempt and predictability. San Francisco's pitching-heavy approach, built around Oracle Park's pitcher-friendly dimensions, becomes less advantageous against division opponents who see these same conditions 9-10 times per season. The Dodgers, Padres, Rockies, and Diamondbacks have extensive scouting reports on how Giants starters attack in the marine layer conditions, neutralizing what should be a significant home field edge. Oracle Park's notorious foul territory and wind patterns create late-inning drama that often works against spread coverage, as close games tend to stay close rather than blow out in either direction. Division rivals also bring motivated fan bases that travel well to San Francisco, diluting the crowd advantage that typically benefits home teams against non-divisional opponents. The key insight for bettors is targeting Giants divisional home games when they're significant favorites, as these contests frequently tighten up regardless of talent disparity. This trend matters most during summer months when the marine layer is most pronounced and visiting division teams have already made multiple adjustments to Oracle Park's unique conditions throughout the season.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the San Francisco Giants's ATS record as home vs division rival?

The San Francisco Giants have a 60-68-2 ATS record when playing at home against division rivals from 2014-2024. This translates to a 46.2% ATS win rate over 130 games.

Is betting on the San Francisco Giants as home vs division rival profitable?

No, betting on the Giants at home vs division rivals is not profitable with a -10.5% ROI and 0.0% win rate. This represents consistent losses for bettors over the 11-year period.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly below the league average of approximately 50% ATS. The Giants' 46.2% ATS rate in this specific situation indicates they consistently fail to cover spreads at home against division opponents.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.