The public often underestimates the San Francisco Giants in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog after a win, the San Francisco Giants hold a record of 85-17-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +59.1% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $61 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record85-17-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size103 games
ROI+59.1%
Units Won+60.3u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20146-2-00.0%+43.2%
20159-1-00.0%+71.8%
201613-2-00.0%+65.5%
20176-1-00.0%+63.6%
20185-2-00.0%+36.4%
20195-2-00.0%+36.4%
20206-1-00.0%+63.6%
20216-1-00.0%+63.6%
202210-2-10.0%+59.1%
20237-3-00.0%+33.6%
202412-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Giants' exceptional performance as home underdogs following victories stems from a potent combination of psychological momentum and market inefficiency. When San Francisco wins on the road or at home, they return to Oracle Park with confidence intact, yet oddsmakers often fail to properly adjust for their resilient clubhouse culture and the unique advantages their ballpark provides. The Giants have historically thrived on being underestimated, and this scenario perfectly captures that dynamic – they're playing well enough to win games but still getting points at home. Oracle Park's dimensions and conditions create a significant home field advantage that betting markets consistently undervalue, particularly when the Giants enter with positive momentum. The team's patient approach at the plate translates exceptionally well to their home environment, where they can work deep counts against visiting pitchers unfamiliar with the park's nuances. Additionally, San Francisco's bullpen tends to perform better at home, where they can leverage favorable matchups in late innings. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when the Giants are getting underdog odds despite solid recent play – the market often overreacts to their opponent's perceived strength while undervaluing San Francisco's home momentum. This trend matters most during interleague play and series against high-profile opponents, when public perception skews the lines most dramatically in the Giants' favor.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the San Francisco Giants's ATS record as home underdog after a win?

The San Francisco Giants have an 85-17-1 ATS record as home underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to an exceptional 83.3% ATS win rate over 103 games.

Is betting on the San Francisco Giants as home underdog after a win profitable?

Yes, betting on the Giants as home underdogs after a win has been highly profitable with a 59.1% ROI. This represents one of the most consistently profitable betting trends in baseball over the past decade.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly exceeds the league average, as most teams struggle to maintain even a 52-53% ATS win rate. The Giants' 83.3% success rate in this situation is exceptionally rare and well above typical betting expectations.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.