The data suggests caution when backing the San Francisco Giants in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away vs division rival, the San Francisco Giants are just 60-66-2 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -9.1% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +9.1%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record60-66-2
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size128 games
ROI-9.1%
Units Won-11.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20148-6-00.0%+9.1%
20154-9-00.0%-41.3%
20164-9-00.0%-41.3%
20174-9-10.0%-41.3%
20187-5-00.0%+11.4%
20199-4-00.0%+32.2%
20204-8-00.0%-36.4%
20215-3-00.0%+19.3%
20227-4-00.0%+21.5%
20234-4-00.0%-4.5%
20244-5-10.0%-15.2%

Why This Trend Exists

The Giants' struggles as road underdogs against division rivals stem from a combination of psychological pressure and strategic disadvantages that compound in these high-stakes matchups. Playing away from Oracle Park's unique dimensions and wind patterns forces San Francisco to adapt their approach, particularly problematic for a franchise that has historically built rosters around their home ballpark's characteristics. The intimate nature of division rivalries means opposing teams have extensive scouting reports on Giants tendencies, while hostile road environments amplify the mental burden of performing as the perceived inferior team. San Francisco's organizational philosophy has traditionally emphasized veteran leadership and situational baseball, but these strengths become liabilities when facing familiar division foes who've studied their patterns extensively. The Giants often struggle to generate consistent offense in these spots, as division rivals typically deploy their best pitching matchups and defensive alignments specifically tailored to neutralize San Francisco's approach. The key betting insight here involves recognizing when the Giants face division rivals coming off extended home stands, as the adjustment period tends to be most pronounced. This trend carries the most weight during the final month of the season when division positioning intensifies the psychological pressure and teams become increasingly familiar with each other's tendencies.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the San Francisco Giants's ATS record as away vs division rival?

The San Francisco Giants have a 60-66-2 ATS record when playing away against division rivals from 2014-2024. This translates to a 47.6% ATS win rate over 128 games.

Is betting on the San Francisco Giants as away vs division rival profitable?

No, betting on the Giants as away underdogs against division rivals is not profitable. The team has generated a -9.1% ROI with a 0.0% win rate in this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly below the expected 50% ATS baseline. The Giants have consistently failed to cover spreads in away division rivalry games, making them a fade candidate in this spot.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.