San Francisco Giants Away Favorite After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the San Francisco Giants in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the San Francisco Giants are just 24-79-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -55.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +55.5%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-6-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
| 2015 | 0-8-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 4-4-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 1-10-1 | 0.0% | -82.6% |
| 2018 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2019 | 3-8-0 | 0.0% | -47.9% |
| 2020 | 2-9-0 | 0.0% | -65.3% |
| 2021 | 2-8-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2022 | 3-12-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2023 | 2-7-0 | 0.0% | -57.6% |
| 2024 | 1-6-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Giants' struggles as road favorites following losses reveal a franchise caught between competing identities during their transitional years. San Francisco's organizational culture, built around veteran leadership and situational baseball, creates a psychological burden when they're expected to bounce back immediately in hostile environments. The team's reliance on pitching and defense - hallmarks of their championship runs - becomes problematic on the road after losses because these elements require precise execution that's harder to maintain when confidence is shaken. Their roster construction during this period often featured aging veterans who struggled with the physical and mental demands of road travel after disappointing performances. The Giants' conservative approach to roster building meant they frequently lacked the explosive offensive talent needed to overcome early deficits in road venues, particularly when facing motivated home underdogs who could exploit their post-loss vulnerability. The betting market consistently overvalued San Francisco's reputation while underestimating how poorly they handled adversity away from Oracle Park. Sharp bettors should target this spot when the Giants are moderate road favorites (-120 to -160) after any loss, especially against teams with strong home records. This trend carries the most weight during the middle months of the season when roster fatigue peaks and the Giants' methodical style becomes most predictable to opposing clubs.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the San Francisco Giants's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?
The San Francisco Giants have a 24-79-1 ATS record as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This translates to a 0.0% win rate against the spread in this specific situation.
Is betting on the San Francisco Giants as away favorite after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Giants as away favorites after a loss is extremely unprofitable with a -55.5% ROI. This represents one of the worst betting trends in baseball over the past decade.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams maintain 45-50% ATS win rates in similar situations. The Giants' 0.0% win rate in this spot is an extreme negative outlier.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.