San Diego Padres vs Division Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The San Diego Padres show mixed results as vs division opponent. Since 2014, they're 123-119-2 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -3.0%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 12-13-0 | 0.0% | -8.4% |
| 2015 | 3-13-1 | 0.0% | -64.2% |
| 2016 | 8-13-0 | 0.0% | -27.3% |
| 2017 | 11-10-0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2018 | 12-14-0 | 0.0% | -11.9% |
| 2019 | 18-9-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2020 | 9-6-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2021 | 4-7-0 | 0.0% | -30.6% |
| 2022 | 10-8-0 | 0.0% | +6.1% |
| 2023 | 20-12-1 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2024 | 16-14-0 | 0.0% | +1.8% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Padres' divisional struggles stem from their historically inconsistent roster construction and organizational instability that plagued the franchise for much of the past decade. Playing in the ultra-competitive NL West against powerhouse organizations like the Dodgers and Giants created a psychological burden where San Diego often played tight in crucial divisional matchups, particularly during their rebuilding years when expectations were simultaneously low yet pressure-filled due to divisional implications. The franchise's tendency to underperform against division rivals reflects their boom-or-bust organizational philosophy - they've alternated between aggressive spending sprees and salary dumps, creating roster chemistry issues that become magnified in familiar divisional settings where opponents know their weaknesses intimately. The negative ROI suggests oddsmakers have consistently overvalued the Padres' chances in these emotionally charged games, particularly during seasons when their talent level didn't match their market perception. Recent form improvement indicates the current roster construction under A.J. Preller may finally be addressing these systemic issues, with veteran leadership helping younger players handle divisional pressure better. This trend matters most during late-season divisional series when playoff implications are high, as the Padres have historically cracked under the weight of meaningful September games against familiar foes.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the San Diego Padres's ATS record as vs division opponent?
The San Diego Padres have a 123-119-2 ATS record when playing against division opponents from 2014-2024. This translates to a 50.8% ATS win rate over 244 total games.
Is betting on the San Diego Padres as vs division opponent profitable?
Betting on the San Diego Padres against division opponents has not been profitable, showing a -3.0% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite a slightly above .500 ATS record, the negative return indicates the betting market has been efficient in pricing their divisional matchups.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Padres' 50.8% ATS win rate against division opponents is slightly above the expected 50% baseline but below typical profitable thresholds. The -3.0% ROI suggests underperformance relative to betting expectations, likely due to juice/vig costs on close-to-even performance.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.