The public often underestimates the San Diego Padres in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as small underdog (+1 to +3), the San Diego Padres hold a record of 41-27-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +15.1% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $10 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record41-27-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size68 games
ROI+15.1%
Units Won+10.3u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20144-2-00.0%+27.3%
20153-1-00.0%+43.2%
20162-2-00.0%-4.5%
20172-5-00.0%-45.5%
20188-3-00.0%+38.8%
20195-2-00.0%+36.4%
20203-2-00.0%+14.6%
20212-0-00.0%+90.9%
20224-3-00.0%+9.1%
20235-4-00.0%+6.1%
20243-3-00.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Padres' exceptional performance as small underdogs stems from their organizational culture of embracing the underdog mentality, particularly evident during their competitive windows. When oddsmakers view San Diego as slight underdogs, it typically reflects market perception rather than true talent gaps, creating value opportunities for sharp bettors. San Diego's roster construction has consistently featured players who thrive under pressure and perform better when expectations are tempered. The team's analytical front office has historically built lineups that can exploit specific matchups, making them dangerous when facing supposedly superior opponents. Their pitching staff, whether led by ace-level talent or deep bullpen arms, tends to rise to the occasion when given extra motivation. The psychological edge cannot be understated – this franchise has long operated with a chip on their shoulder, knowing they compete in a division with the Dodgers' massive payroll and the Giants' championship pedigree. Small underdog lines suggest competitive games where San Diego's grit and preparation often tip the scales. This trend matters most during interleague play and against AL opponents, where market inefficiencies are more pronounced, and when the Padres face teams coming off strong performances where public perception may have inflated the opposition's line.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the San Diego Padres's ATS record as small underdog (+1 to +3)?

The San Diego Padres have a 41-27-0 ATS record as small underdogs (+1 to +3) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 60.3% ATS win rate over 68 games in this betting situation.

Is betting on the San Diego Padres as small underdog (+1 to +3) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Padres as small underdogs has been profitable with a 15.1% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 60.3% ATS win rate in this spot significantly exceeds the breakeven point needed for profitability.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is well above league average, as most teams hover around 50% ATS in any given situation. The Padres' 60.3% win rate and 15.1% ROI as small underdogs represents a strong betting trend over the past decade.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.