San Diego Padres Primetime Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the San Diego Padres in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as primetime underdog, the San Diego Padres hold a record of 347-71-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +58.5% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $244 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 31-10-0 | 0.0% | +44.4% |
| 2015 | 21-10-0 | 0.0% | +29.3% |
| 2016 | 33-6-0 | 0.0% | +61.5% |
| 2017 | 27-6-0 | 0.0% | +56.2% |
| 2018 | 35-3-0 | 0.0% | +75.8% |
| 2019 | 38-6-0 | 0.0% | +64.9% |
| 2020 | 25-8-0 | 0.0% | +44.6% |
| 2021 | 28-5-0 | 0.0% | +62.0% |
| 2022 | 34-5-0 | 0.0% | +66.4% |
| 2023 | 45-7-0 | 0.0% | +65.2% |
| 2024 | 30-5-0 | 0.0% | +63.6% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Padres' exceptional performance as primetime underdogs stems from their organizational culture of playing loose when expectations are lowest. San Diego has historically thrived in the underdog mentality, particularly during their competitive windows when talented rosters were undervalued by the betting market. The franchise's West Coast location creates unique scheduling dynamics where primetime games often feature them against heavily favored Eastern teams, leading to inflated spreads that don't account for San Diego's ability to elevate their play on the big stage. The psychological factor cannot be understated - primetime games typically showcase the Padres against marquee opponents, creating an environment where role players step up and veteran leadership shines. Their pitching staff has consistently outperformed expectations in these spots, while their aggressive offensive approach generates the type of explosive innings that swing games in their favor as underdogs. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when the Padres face elite opponents in nationally televised games, particularly during stretches when their recent form contradicts public perception. This trend carries the most weight during interleague play and weekend series against high-profile NL West rivals, where the betting public gravitates toward the more recognizable favorite while overlooking San Diego's proven track record of rising to the occasion.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the San Diego Padres's ATS record as primetime underdog?
The San Diego Padres have an ATS record of 347-71-0 as primetime underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents a strong 83.0% ATS win rate over 418 total games.
Is betting on the San Diego Padres as primetime underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the San Diego Padres as primetime underdogs has been highly profitable with a 58.5% ROI. This exceptional return demonstrates consistent value when backing the Padres in primetime underdog situations.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 83.0% ATS win rate significantly outperforms the typical 52.4% break-even rate needed for profitable betting. The Padres' primetime underdog performance is well above league average and represents one of the strongest situational trends in baseball.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.