The data suggests caution when backing the San Diego Padres in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as on a 3+ game losing streak, the San Diego Padres are just 427-461-2 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -8.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +8.2%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record427-461-2
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size890 games
ROI-8.2%
Units Won-72.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201433-47-00.0%-21.2%
201525-45-10.0%-31.8%
201640-45-00.0%-10.2%
201735-42-00.0%-13.2%
201842-46-00.0%-8.9%
201951-38-00.0%+9.4%
202028-35-00.0%-15.2%
202137-38-00.0%-5.8%
202241-39-00.0%-2.2%
202356-39-10.0%+12.5%
202439-47-00.0%-13.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Padres' struggles during extended losing streaks stem from a franchise culture that has historically lacked the veteran leadership and mental fortitude needed to halt negative momentum. San Diego's roster construction over the past decade has often prioritized talent over character, creating teams that can dominate when things go well but lack the psychological resilience to grind through adversity. The organization's tendency to rely heavily on young, high-ceiling players means they're particularly vulnerable to the snowball effect that occurs when confidence erodes across the clubhouse. Strategically, the Padres have shown a pattern of overthinking during rough patches, with management making reactive moves that disrupt established routines rather than trusting their systems. This manifests in frequent lineup changes, bullpen shuffling, and an overall sense of pressing that compounds their problems. The team's aggressive offensive approach, while effective in good times, becomes problematic during slumps as hitters expand the strike zone and chase bad pitches. For bettors, the key insight is recognizing when San Diego enters these streaks with a depleted or inexperienced roster, as these situations historically produce the worst results. This trend matters most during mid-season stretches when playoff pressure mounts and the team lacks proven veterans to steady the ship.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the San Diego Padres's ATS record as on a 3+ game losing streak?

The San Diego Padres have an ATS record of 427-461-2 when on a 3+ game losing streak from 2014-2024. This translates to a 48.1% ATS win rate over 890 total games in this situation.

Is betting on the San Diego Padres as on a 3+ game losing streak profitable?

No, betting on the San Diego Padres when on a 3+ game losing streak is not profitable. The strategy shows a negative ROI of -8.2% with a 0.0% win rate, indicating consistent losses for bettors.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly below the expected 50% ATS baseline, with the Padres covering the spread at just 48.1% when on extended losing streaks. The -8.2% ROI indicates this trend has been a consistent fade opportunity for bettors over the past decade.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.