San Diego Padres Away vs Division Rival Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the San Diego Padres in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away vs division rival, the San Diego Padres are just 62-66-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -7.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +7.5%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 7-6-0 | 0.0% | +2.8% |
| 2015 | 2-9-0 | 0.0% | -65.3% |
| 2016 | 2-9-0 | 0.0% | -65.3% |
| 2017 | 6-4-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2018 | 7-4-0 | 0.0% | +21.5% |
| 2019 | 9-4-0 | 0.0% | +32.2% |
| 2020 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2021 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2022 | 5-6-0 | 0.0% | -13.2% |
| 2023 | 11-10-1 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 7-9-0 | 0.0% | -16.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Padres' struggles as away underdogs against division rivals stem from a combination of organizational volatility and the unique pressures of NL West competition. San Diego has undergone multiple roster overhauls and managerial changes since 2014, creating inconsistent team identity that becomes magnified in hostile division environments. When facing familiar foes like the Dodgers, Giants, and Rockies on the road, the Padres often find themselves mentally defeated before first pitch, particularly when oddsmakers have already tagged them as underdogs. Division rivals possess intimate knowledge of San Diego's tendencies, exploiting weaknesses that become more pronounced away from Petco Park's pitcher-friendly dimensions. The Padres have historically relied on contact hitting and situational baseball, but these skills deteriorate when facing division pitchers who've studied their approach extensively. Road environments amplify these disadvantages, as San Diego's hitters struggle to adjust their timing against familiar arms in unfamiliar ballparks. The psychological weight of being underdogs compounds these issues, as the Padres have often played tight and tentative rather than loose and aggressive. Smart bettors should be particularly cautious backing San Diego in these spots during the season's final two months, when division races intensify and every at-bat carries playoff implications.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the San Diego Padres's ATS record as away vs division rival?
The San Diego Padres have a 62-66-1 ATS record when playing as the away team against division rivals from 2014-2024. This translates to a 48.1% ATS win rate over 129 games.
Is betting on the San Diego Padres as away vs division rival profitable?
No, betting on the San Diego Padres as the away team against division rivals has not been profitable. The -7.5% ROI indicates bettors would have lost money consistently over this 11-year period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is below the expected 50% ATS baseline, as the Padres covered the spread only 48.1% of the time in these situations. The negative ROI confirms underperformance compared to break-even expectations.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.