The public often underestimates the San Diego Padres in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog after a win, the San Diego Padres hold a record of 84-14-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +63.6% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $62 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record84-14-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size98 games
ROI+63.6%
Units Won+62.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20146-1-00.0%+63.6%
20156-2-00.0%+43.2%
201610-0-00.0%+90.9%
20173-1-00.0%+43.2%
201810-2-00.0%+59.1%
20199-1-00.0%+71.8%
20208-1-00.0%+69.7%
20217-1-00.0%+67.0%
20228-1-00.0%+69.7%
20237-2-00.0%+48.5%
202410-2-00.0%+59.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Padres' exceptional performance as away underdogs following victories stems from a combination of psychological momentum and strategic positioning that creates significant value for sharp bettors. When San Diego wins on the road, they often carry confidence into their next away game, while oddsmakers tend to undervalue this momentum, particularly when the Padres face stronger opponents. The team's young core has historically thrived in low-pressure situations where expectations are minimal, allowing them to play aggressively without the weight of being favored. San Diego's organizational approach emphasizes situational hitting and bullpen depth, two factors that become more valuable in close games typical of underdog scenarios. Their ability to manufacture runs through speed and small ball tactics often catches opponents off-guard, especially teams that may be looking ahead or taking the Padres lightly after seeing them listed as underdogs. The key insight for bettors is recognizing that this trend capitalizes on market inefficiency where the betting public consistently underestimates San Diego's resilience and competitive spirit in hostile environments. This pattern holds particular significance during mid-season stretches when the Padres are fighting for playoff positioning, as their desperation often exceeds their opponents' motivation levels in what appear to be routine matchups on paper.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the San Diego Padres's ATS record as away underdog after a win?

The San Diego Padres have an 84-14-0 ATS record as away underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to an impressive 85.7% ATS win rate over 98 games.

Is betting on the San Diego Padres as away underdog after a win profitable?

Yes, betting on the Padres as away underdogs after a win has been highly profitable with a 63.6% ROI. This exceptional return rate makes it one of the most profitable betting trends over the past decade.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly exceeds league averages, as most teams cover around 50% ATS in any given situation. The Padres' 85.7% ATS rate in this spot is remarkably above normal expectations.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.