The data suggests caution when backing the San Diego Padres in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away games, the San Diego Padres are just 204-250-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -14.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +14.2%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record204-250-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size455 games
ROI-14.2%
Units Won-64.5u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201418-25-00.0%-20.1%
201514-23-00.0%-27.8%
201620-25-00.0%-15.2%
201713-21-00.0%-27.0%
201820-25-00.0%-15.2%
201920-19-00.0%-2.1%
202013-18-00.0%-19.9%
202118-20-00.0%-9.6%
202221-26-00.0%-14.7%
202326-22-10.0%+3.4%
202421-26-00.0%-14.7%

Why This Trend Exists

The Padres' persistent struggles as road underdogs stem from a franchise culture that has historically lacked the mental fortitude needed to overcome hostile environments while facing superior opponents. San Diego's geographic isolation and relatively small market size have contributed to a team identity that often wilts under pressure when playing in larger, more intimidating venues. The organization has frequently fielded teams built around offensive talent rather than the pitching depth and defensive consistency that travels well, making them particularly vulnerable when facing quality opponents away from Petco Park's pitcher-friendly dimensions. The psychological component cannot be understated. The Padres have operated with a "small market mentality" for much of this period, leading to conservative roster construction and a tendency to play tight in high-leverage road situations. Their pitching staffs have often been thin beyond the top two starters, creating compounding problems during road trips where bullpen management becomes crucial. Smart bettors should be particularly wary of backing San Diego as road underdogs in divisional matchups and against teams with strong home field advantages. This trend carries the most weight during the second half of the season when organizational depth issues become magnified and the mental grind of a long campaign takes its toll.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the San Diego Padres's ATS record as away games?

The San Diego Padres have an ATS record of 204-250-1 in away games from 2014-2024. This represents a 45.0% win rate against the spread over 455 road games.

Is betting on the San Diego Padres as away games profitable?

No, betting on the San Diego Padres in away games has not been profitable, showing a -14.2% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. Bettors would have lost money consistently backing the Padres on the road against the spread.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly below the league average, as the Padres' 45.0% ATS win rate in away games trails the typical 50% break-even point by 5 percentage points. The -14.2% ROI indicates substantially worse performance than average road teams.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.