Overall Home Runs: 4-50-0 O/U

7.4% Over Rate
0.07 Avg HR
0.5 Avg Line
-0.4 Avg vs Line
-85.9% Over ROI
54 Games
OVER 7.4%
UNDER 92.6%
Fade Overall Verdict: Fade — UNDER

🔥 Best Situation

Last 10 Games

2-8 O/U (20.0% Over)

+-61.8% ROI

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📉 Worst Situation

Away Games

1-26 O/U (3.7% Over)

-92.9% ROI

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Home Runs Over Rate by Situation

Over rate by situation. Green = above 55%, Red = below 45%, Gray = neutral.

All Home Runs Situations

Situation O/U Record Over % Avg Line Avg Actual Over ROI
All Games 4-50 7.4% 0.5 0.07 -85.9%
Away Games 1-26 3.7% 0.5 0.04 -92.9%
Home Games 3-24 11.1% 0.5 0.11 -78.8%
Last 10 Games 2-8 20.0% 0.5 0.2 -61.8%

Key Splits

Home vs Away

Home 11.1% Over
Away 3.7% Over

By Line Range

Line < -1.5 —% Over
Line > 2.5 —% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 —% Over
Last 10 20.0% Over

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Xander Bogaerts's overall Home Runs prop record?

Xander Bogaerts is 4-50 O/U on Home Runs props across all situations (7.4% over rate).

When does Xander Bogaerts go OVER on Home Runs the most?

Xander Bogaerts's best Home Runs situation is Last 10 Games, where they hit the over 20.0% of the time.

What's Xander Bogaerts's average Home Runs per game?

Xander Bogaerts averages 0.07 HR per game vs an average line of 0.5.

Which situation should I avoid betting?

Away Games is Xander Bogaerts's worst Home Runs situation at just 3.7% over rate.

Methodology: Analysis covers 54 games. O/U results use closing lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Min 5-game sample per situation.