Overall Home Runs: 14-63-0 O/U

18.2% Over Rate
0.19 Avg HR
0.5 Avg Line
-0.3 Avg vs Line
-65.3% Over ROI
77 Games
OVER 18.2%
UNDER 81.8%
Fade Overall Verdict: Fade — UNDER

🔥 Best Situation

As Favorite

3-8 O/U (27.3% Over)

+-47.9% ROI

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📉 Worst Situation

Last 10 Games

0-10 O/U (0.0% Over)

-100.0% ROI

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Home Runs Over Rate by Situation

Over rate by situation. Green = above 55%, Red = below 45%, Gray = neutral.

All Home Runs Situations

Situation O/U Record Over % Avg Line Avg Actual Over ROI
All Games 14-63 18.2% 0.5 0.19 -65.3%
Away Games 9-30 23.1% 0.5 0.23 -55.9%
As Favorite 3-8 27.3% 0.5 0.36 -47.9%
High Total Games 2-10 16.7% 0.5 0.17 -68.2%
Home Games 5-33 13.2% 0.5 0.16 -74.9%
Last 10 Games 0-10 0.0% 0.5 -100.0%

Key Splits

Home vs Away

Home 13.2% Over
Away 23.1% Over

By Line Range

Line < -1.5 —% Over
Line > 2.5 —% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 —% Over
Last 10 0.0% Over

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Willson Contreras's overall Home Runs prop record?

Willson Contreras is 14-63 O/U on Home Runs props across all situations (18.2% over rate).

When does Willson Contreras go OVER on Home Runs the most?

Willson Contreras's best Home Runs situation is As Favorite, where they hit the over 27.3% of the time.

What's Willson Contreras's average Home Runs per game?

Willson Contreras averages 0.19 HR per game vs an average line of 0.5.

Which situation should I avoid betting?

Last 10 Games is Willson Contreras's worst Home Runs situation at just 0.0% over rate.

Methodology: Analysis covers 77 games. O/U results use closing lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Min 5-game sample per situation.