Will Benson's hits prop in away games presents a compelling under opportunity with a 60.6% hit rate over 33 games. His 0.67 average sits 0.5 hits below the typical 1.2 line, generating +15.7% ROI on unders while overs bleed -24.8%.
Expert Analysis
Will Benson's road hitting struggles create a systematic edge that books haven't fully adjusted for. His 0.67 hits per away game average consistently falls short of the standard 1.2 line, indicating either overvaluation of his offensive ceiling or insufficient weight given to his pronounced home/road splits. The 39.4% over rate across 33 games represents meaningful sample size, while the -0.5 differential suggests the market consistently prices him too optimistically on the road. The 60.6% under success rate with positive ROI indicates this isn't random variance but a persistent pattern. Benson's profile as a power-over-contact hitter likely amplifies road difficulties, as away environments typically suppress offensive numbers. The longest under streak of 10 games demonstrates how extended cold spells can devastate hit totals for players already operating below market expectations. Without recent form data to suggest improvement, this trend appears sustainable given the underlying factors driving road offensive struggles for developing players.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 0.67 road average creates consistent value against 1.2 lines, supported by a 60.6% under rate and positive ROI. Target this prop when Benson faces quality pitching or plays in pitcher-friendly parks to maximize edge. Primary risk involves potential lineup changes or sample size concerns, but the underlying road struggles appear legitimate for a developing power hitter.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-21 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-24 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-21 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-30 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-29 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-28 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-19 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-17 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-16 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-15 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Will Benson's Hits prop record away games?
Will Benson's hits prop record in away games stands at 13-20-0 over/under, hitting the over just 39.4% of the time across 33 games from June 2023 through August 2024.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Will Benson Hits away games?
Bet under on Will Benson's hits in away games. His 0.67 average consistently falls short of typical 1.2 lines, producing +15.7% ROI with a 60.6% success rate.
What's Will Benson's average Hits away games?
Will Benson averages 0.67 hits per away game, sitting 0.5 hits below the standard 1.2 line. This significant gap creates consistent under value in road matchups.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Will Benson hits unders in away games against quality pitching or in pitcher-friendly ballparks. His road struggles amplify against tougher matchups, maximizing the edge.