Victor Scott II has failed to hit the total bases over in all 10 games since August 21st, averaging just 1.2 total bases against a 3.4 line. This represents a catastrophic -2.2 differential with zero overs recorded. The under presents exceptional value at 90.9% ROI.
Expert Analysis
Scott's total bases collapse stems from his rookie adjustment period coinciding with increased major league competition. The 1.2 average against a 3.4 line reveals sportsbooks haven't properly adjusted to his current form, creating a massive 65% gap between expectation and reality. His contact-oriented approach as a speedy center fielder typically generates singles and stolen bases rather than extra-base hits, making multi-base games increasingly rare. The Cardinals' late-season evaluation mode has Scott facing tougher pitching matchups while learning to handle breaking balls and advanced scouting reports. His plate discipline metrics show expanding strike zone awareness, leading to weaker contact and fewer hard-hit balls. The 10-game sample size is significant enough to indicate genuine skill-level concerns rather than variance, particularly given the consistency of the underperformance. Scott's speed-first profile means his value comes from getting on base and advancing, not accumulating total bases through power. The betting market's slow adjustment creates an exploitable edge, especially when Scott faces quality pitching or hits in the bottom third of the lineup where RBI opportunities diminish.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Scott's fundamental approach and current skill level make the 3.4 total bases line laughably high. The 0-10 record isn't variance—it's market inefficiency meeting reality. Target this prop when Scott faces above-average pitching or hits seventh or lower in the order. Primary risk is a random multi-hit game, but his current form suggests even doubles are unlikely.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-03 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-01 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-31 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-30 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-25 | OPP | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-24 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-23 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-22 | OPP | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-21 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Victor Scott II's Total Bases prop record last 10 games?
Scott is 0-10 on total bases overs in his last 10 games, averaging 1.2 total bases against a 3.4 line for a perfect under record and -2.2 differential.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Victor Scott II Total Bases last 10 games?
Bet the under with high confidence. Scott's 0-10 over record and 1.2 average against a 3.4 line creates exceptional value with 90.9% ROI on under bets.
What's Victor Scott II's average Total Bases last 10 games?
Scott averages 1.2 total bases over his last 10 games compared to the typical 3.4 line, creating a massive -2.2 differential that favors under bets.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Scott's total bases under when he faces quality pitching or hits seventh or lower in the lineup, maximizing the edge from his contact-first approach.