Victor Scott II has failed to hit a home run in all 10 home games tracked in 2024, creating a perfect 0-10-0 under record against the 0.5 line. This represents a -100% ROI on overs and +90.9% on unders. The under trend appears sustainable given Scott's profile as a speed-over-power prospect.
Expert Analysis
Victor Scott II's home run drought at Busch Stadium reflects his fundamental profile as a contact-and-speed player rather than a power threat. The 0-10-0 record against 0.5 home runs isn't surprising when examining his minor league track record, where he averaged just 6.8 home runs per season across four professional levels. Scott's approach emphasizes putting the ball in play and using his elite speed, not driving balls over the fence. His 21.7% strikeout rate in limited MLB action suggests decent contact skills, but his isolated power metrics remain well below league average. Busch Stadium's dimensions don't particularly favor left-handed power either, with 336 feet down the right field line but significant foul territory that reduces offensive production. Scott's role as a bottom-third lineup hitter also limits his opportunities in premium RBI situations where aggressive swings might produce more fly balls. The consistency of this trend across 10 games spanning nearly five months indicates this isn't random variance but rather a reflection of Scott's true talent level. Regression toward more home runs seems unlikely given his prospect profile prioritized speed and defense over raw power development.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Victor Scott II's 0-10-0 home run record at Busch Stadium aligns perfectly with his speed-first prospect profile and contact-oriented approach. The 0.5 line consistently overestimates his power potential, creating excellent value on unders. Best conditions are day games when his contact approach plays well, though any home game offers strong under value. Main risk is a cheapie home run on a mistake pitch, but his approach makes this unlikely.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-21 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-18 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-17 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-16 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Victor Scott II's Home Runs prop record home games?
Victor Scott II is 0-10-0 on home run overs in home games during 2024, with zero home runs against a consistent 0.5 line. This perfect under record spans from April through August, representing a -100% ROI on overs and +90.9% on unders.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Victor Scott II Home Runs home games?
Bet the under on Victor Scott II's home runs in home games with high confidence. His 0-10-0 record reflects his true talent as a speed-first player, not a power threat. The 0.5 line consistently overvalues his home run potential at Busch Stadium.
What's Victor Scott II's average Home Runs home games?
Victor Scott II averages exactly 0.0 home runs per home game against a 0.5 line, creating a -0.5 differential. This massive gap between his actual production and the betting line represents consistent value on the under in every home appearance.
How reliable is this trend?
Any home game offers strong value on Victor Scott II's home run under, but day games may be optimal when his contact approach plays well. Avoid betting during hot streaks or against struggling pitchers, though his power profile makes overs unlikely regardless.