Victor Scott II's home run prop in away games presents one of the most lopsided trends in baseball, going under in 19 of 20 games (5.0% over rate) with a devastating -90.5% ROI on overs. His 0.05 average sits 90% below the 0.5 line, creating exceptional under value.
Expert Analysis
Victor Scott II's road home run futility stems from a perfect storm of unfavorable factors that create sustainable under value. As a rookie speedster with minimal power (career .067 ISO), Scott's profile skews heavily toward contact and speed rather than extra-base thump. The 0.05 home run average away from home reflects his true talent level, making the standard 0.5 line a significant overreach by oddsmakers who likely price based on positional expectations rather than individual ability. Road environments typically suppress offensive numbers, and Scott's spray-chart approach generates mostly ground balls and line drives rather than the elevated contact needed for home runs. The 14-game under streak isn't an anomaly requiring regression—it's the natural outcome when a slap hitter faces major league pitching away from any potential home park advantages. Scott's plate approach prioritizes making contact and using his speed, not launching balls over fences. This creates a fundamental mismatch between his skill set and the home run prop, particularly on the road where offensive conditions are generally more challenging. The extreme under rate reflects legitimate talent-based limitations rather than random variance.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Victor Scott II's road home run prop represents exceptional under value driven by a fundamental skills mismatch. His contact-oriented approach and minimal power (.067 career ISO) make the 0.5 line consistently inflated. The 19-1 under record isn't fluky—it's predictable given his profile. Target this prop in any road game, especially against quality pitching or in pitcher-friendly ballparks where his already-limited power becomes even more suppressed.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-30 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-17 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-15 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Victor Scott II's Home Runs prop record away games?
Victor Scott II's home run prop record in away games is a remarkable 1-19-0 over/under, hitting just 5.0% of overs with an average of 0.05 home runs per road game against the standard 0.5 line.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Victor Scott II Home Runs away games?
Bet UNDER on Victor Scott II's home runs in away games with high confidence. His contact-oriented profile and minimal power create consistent under value, evidenced by the 19-1 under record and +81.4% ROI.
What's Victor Scott II's average Home Runs away games?
Victor Scott II averages 0.05 home runs per away game, sitting 90% below the typical 0.5 line. This massive differential of -0.45 creates substantial under value given his spray-chart contact approach.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Victor Scott II's home run under in any road game, especially against quality pitching or in pitcher-friendly ballparks. His limited power profile makes road conditions the ideal spot for under bets.