Victor Robles has been a total bases disaster, going under in 8 of 10 games with a brutal -61.8% ROI on overs. His 1.2 average sits nearly two full bases below typical 3.1 lines, creating massive value on unders.
Expert Analysis
Victor Robles's total bases collapse represents one of the season's most reliable betting trends, with his production falling off a cliff in September. The 1.2 average against 3.1 lines reveals a player whose contact quality has deteriorated significantly, likely due to late-season fatigue or mechanical issues. This isn't variance - it's systematic underperformance across a meaningful sample. The current three-game under streak suggests books haven't fully adjusted to his diminished state, creating continued value. Robles's center field position requires consistent at-bats, but his approach has become increasingly passive, leading to weak contact and fewer extra-base opportunities. The 20% over rate indicates books are still pricing him based on earlier season performance rather than current reality. September typically sees veteran players wear down, and Robles fits this pattern perfectly. His longest over streak being just one game shows no sustained power bursts, while the three-game under streak could easily extend given his current form. The massive ROI differential (+52.7% under vs -61.8% over) demonstrates how dramatically the market has mispriced his current ability level.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Robles's 1.2 average creates nearly automatic value against standard 3.1 lines, representing a two-base cushion that's proven sustainable over 10 games. Target unders when lines remain inflated above 2.5, especially in day games where his struggles have been most pronounced. Main risk is potential benching reducing sample opportunities, but that actually supports the under thesis.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-29 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-22 | OPP | 4.5 | 1.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-21 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-20 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-18 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-17 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-15 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-13 | OPP | 4.5 | 1.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-12 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-06 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Victor Robles's Total Bases prop record last 10 games?
Victor Robles has gone 2-8 on total bases overs in his last 10 games, hitting just 20% of over bets. He's averaging only 1.2 total bases per game during this stretch, well below standard betting lines.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Victor Robles Total Bases last 10 games?
Bet the UNDER on Victor Robles total bases props. His 1.2 average sits nearly two bases below typical 3.1 lines, creating exceptional value with a +52.7% ROI on unders over this 10-game sample.
What's Victor Robles's average Total Bases last 10 games?
Victor Robles is averaging just 1.2 total bases over his last 10 games, compared to typical betting lines around 3.1. This -1.9 differential represents one of the season's largest gaps between performance and market expectations.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Victor Robles total bases unders when lines stay above 2.5, particularly in day games where fatigue factors intensify. His current form suggests continued value until books adjust pricing to match his diminished September production.