Tyrone Taylor's home run props present one of the season's most reliable under opportunities, hitting just 3.6% of overs across 28 games with a devastating 1-27-0 record. His 0.04 average sits dramatically below the standard 0.5 line, creating consistent value on the under with an 84.1% ROI.
Expert Analysis
Taylor's home run futility stems from fundamental offensive limitations that make regression unlikely. His 0.04 home run average represents genuine skill level rather than bad luck, as he's managed just one homer across 28 games while consistently facing the 0.5 line. The 20-game under streak isn't fluky variance—it reflects Taylor's contact-oriented approach and limited raw power that simply doesn't translate to consistent long balls. His role as a fourth outfielder means sporadic playing time and often unfavorable matchups against quality pitching. The massive gap between his production (0.04) and the betting line (0.5) suggests oddsmakers haven't properly adjusted for his power deficiencies. While any player can connect for a surprise homer, Taylor's track record shows remarkable consistency in failing to reach even modest power thresholds. The 93.2% loss rate on overs isn't just bad luck—it's a reflection of a player whose skill set doesn't align with home run production. Even in favorable conditions like smaller ballparks or facing struggling pitchers, Taylor's approach remains unchanged, prioritizing contact over power.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Taylor's 1-27-0 record represents one of the season's most exploitable props, driven by a fundamental mismatch between his contact-heavy skill set and home run expectations. The ideal conditions are any game where the line sits at 0.5, regardless of matchup or venue. The primary risk is the inherent variance in baseball where any swing can leave the yard, but Taylor's consistency in avoiding homers makes this minimal.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-30 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-18 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-17 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Favorite vs Underdog
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Tyrone Taylor's Home Runs prop record all games?
Tyrone Taylor's home run prop record stands at a dismal 1-27-0 over/under across 28 games, representing just a 3.6% over rate. This translates to hitting the over once while failing to reach 0.5 home runs in 27 consecutive opportunities, making it one of the season's most lopsided trends.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Tyrone Taylor Home Runs all games?
Bet the UNDER on Tyrone Taylor's home runs with high confidence. His 1-27-0 record and 0.04 average create massive value on the under side, delivering an 84.1% ROI. The consistency of this trend makes it one of the most reliable props available.
What's Tyrone Taylor's average Home Runs all games?
Taylor averages just 0.04 home runs per game compared to the typical 0.5 betting line, creating a massive 0.46 differential in favor of under bettors. This gap represents one of the largest mismatches between player production and market expectations across all props.
How reliable is this trend?
The best time to bet Taylor's home run under is whenever the line is set at 0.5, regardless of matchup or ballpark factors. His consistency in avoiding homers transcends situational variables, making every game an opportunity to capitalize on this reliable trend.