Tyrone Taylor's hits props have been a goldmine for under bettors, going 1-9-0 (10% overs) with a devastating -0.9 differential from his typical 2.0 line. The Mets outfielder is averaging just 1.1 hits per game during this stretch, creating a 71.8% ROI on unders.
Expert Analysis
Taylor's hitting struggles represent more than just bad luck—they reflect a fundamental mismatch between his projected output and actual performance. The 1.1 hits per game average against a 2.0 line suggests either the market hasn't adjusted to his declining form or he's facing particularly challenging matchups. The 9-game under streak indicates this isn't random variance but a sustained period of offensive futility. What makes this trend particularly compelling is the consistency—Taylor hasn't just been slightly under, he's been significantly under, creating massive value gaps. The -80.9% ROI on overs tells the story of bettors consistently overestimating his offensive capabilities. This could stem from several factors: reduced playing time affecting rhythm, lineup position changes limiting at-bats, or simply a player struggling with timing and approach at the plate. The sample size of 10 games provides enough data to identify a legitimate trend while being recent enough to remain relevant. However, regression concerns are real—no player maintains a 10% hit rate indefinitely, and Taylor's career numbers suggest better days ahead.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Taylor's 1.1 hits per game average creates substantial value against typical 2.0 lines, and the 9-game under streak shows no signs of breaking. The -0.9 differential is too significant to ignore, especially with a 71.8% ROI backing the strategy. Main risk is inevitable regression, but until Taylor shows consistent contact improvement, unders remain the sharp play.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-30 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-24 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-22 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-18 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-17 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-24 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-20 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-08 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Tyrone Taylor's Hits prop record last 10 games?
Taylor went 1-9-0 over/under on hits props in his last 10 games, hitting just 10% of overs. He averaged 1.1 hits per game against typical 2.0 lines, creating a -0.9 differential and 71.8% ROI for under bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Tyrone Taylor Hits last 10 games?
Bet the under with high confidence. Taylor's 9-game under streak and 1.1 hits per game average against 2.0 lines creates massive value. The 71.8% ROI on unders shows the market hasn't adjusted to his struggles.
What's Tyrone Taylor's average Hits last 10 games?
Taylor averaged just 1.1 hits per game over his last 10 contests, nearly a full hit below his typical 2.0 line. This -0.9 differential represents significant underperformance and creates substantial value for under bettors.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Taylor's hits unders when he faces quality pitching or appears in platoon situations with limited at-bats. His current form suggests consistent value on unders regardless of matchup, but avoid after any multi-hit breakout games.