Tyrone Taylor's hits prop presents a compelling under opportunity, going 9-20 against the over with just a 31.0% success rate. His 0.93 average sits 0.36 hits below the typical 1.29 line, generating +31.7% ROI on unders. The current 9-game under streak reinforces this as a strong fade candidate.
Expert Analysis
Taylor's hits prop reveals a player consistently overvalued by oddsmakers throughout 2024. His 0.93 hits per game average against a 1.29 line represents a significant 28% gap that suggests either inflated expectations or fundamental struggles at the plate. The 9-20 over/under record isn't just poor—it's systematically poor, indicating this isn't random variance but a persistent skill or usage issue. The current 9-game under streak, while extreme, aligns with his season-long pattern of disappointing offensive output. What makes this trend particularly reliable is the consistency—Taylor hasn't shown the type of hot streaks that would make his overs dangerous. His longest over streak was just 2 games, suggesting limited ceiling for multi-hit performances. The -40.8% ROI on overs tells the story of bettors consistently overestimating his offensive contribution, likely influenced by his defensive reputation or past performance. For a player averaging less than one hit per game over nearly 30 games, the market appears slow to adjust expectations downward. This creates ongoing value on the under, particularly when lines remain in the 1+ range.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Taylor's 31.0% over rate and 0.93 average create clear mathematical value against typical 1+ lines. The 9-game under streak reflects season-long struggles rather than temporary slump, making this a systematic edge rather than streaky variance. Primary risk is an outlier multi-hit game, but his 2-game max over streak suggests limited ceiling. Target unders when lines are 1.5 or higher for maximum value.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-30 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-24 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-22 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-18 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-17 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-24 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-20 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-08 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-26 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Tyrone Taylor's Hits prop record all games?
Taylor's hits prop record stands at 9-20 over/under across 29 games in 2024, producing just a 31.0% over rate. This translates to devastating -40.8% ROI on overs while unders generated +31.7% returns, making it one of the season's most reliable under trends.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Tyrone Taylor Hits all games?
Bet under on Taylor's hits props with high confidence. His 0.93 average sits well below typical 1+ lines, supported by a 9-20 record and current 9-game under streak. The mathematical edge is clear and persistent throughout the season.
What's Tyrone Taylor's average Hits all games?
Taylor averages 0.93 hits per game compared to the typical 1.29 line, creating a significant 0.36-hit differential in favor of unders. This 28% gap between performance and market expectation drives the strong under value throughout his 29-game sample.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Taylor's hits unders when lines are set at 1.5 or higher for maximum value. His consistent struggles and 9-game under streak make any game a good spot, but elevated lines provide the best risk-reward ratio given his sub-1.0 average.