Tyler Glasnow has delivered exceptional strikeout value, going 7-3 to the over in his last 10 starts with an average of 8.8 strikeouts against a 7.4 line. The +1.4 differential and 33.6% ROI on overs signals a clear market inefficiency. Lean over on Glasnow strikeout props.
Expert Analysis
Glasnow's 70% over rate isn't just hot variance—it reflects his elite strikeout arsenal translating consistently to game situations. The 8.8 average against a 7.4 line represents genuine value, not inflated numbers from one dominant outing. His four-seam fastball velocity and devastating curveball create swing-and-miss opportunities that books haven't fully priced in. The +1.4 differential is significant for strikeout props, where margins are typically tighter. Most encouraging is the sustainability factor: Glasnow's peripheral metrics support these results, with his swinging strike rate and chase rate indicating the strikeouts aren't fluky. The 33.6% ROI on overs demonstrates clear market mispricing. However, regression remains possible—no pitcher maintains 70% over rates indefinitely. His longest under streak of just two games suggests he bounces back quickly from off nights. The sample size of 10 games provides meaningful data without being overwhelming. Books may eventually adjust lines upward, but current pricing still offers value. The key risk is injury or fatigue affecting his velocity late in starts, which could cap strikeout totals even in favorable matchups.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The 7-3 record and +1.4 average differential indicate legitimate value that hasn't been fully corrected by the market. Glasnow's strikeout arsenal and peripherals support continued success, though some regression is inevitable. Target overs when he faces lineups with high strikeout rates or in favorable home conditions. Main risk is books adjusting lines higher or velocity concerns late in games.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-30 | OPP | 5.5 | 8.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-05 | OPP | 7.5 | 7.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-22 | OPP | 8.5 | 10.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-06-16 | OPP | 7.5 | 9.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-06-09 | OPP | 7.5 | 12.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-28 | OPP | 7.5 | 8.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-22 | OPP | 7.5 | 6.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-16 | OPP | 8.5 | 8.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-10 | OPP | 6.5 | 10.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-04 | OPP | 7.5 | 10.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Tyler Glasnow's Strikeouts prop record last 10 games?
Tyler Glasnow has gone 7-3 to the over on strikeout props in his last 10 games, hitting 70% of overs with an impressive 8.8 strikeouts per game average. This represents a +1.4 differential above the typical 7.4 line, generating strong returns for over bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Tyler Glasnow Strikeouts last 10 games?
Bet over on Tyler Glasnow strikeout props. His 70% over rate and +1.4 differential above lines shows consistent value. The 33.6% ROI on overs indicates the market hasn't fully adjusted to his strikeout production. Target favorable matchups for best results.
What's Tyler Glasnow's average Strikeouts last 10 games?
Tyler Glasnow averages 8.8 strikeouts over his last 10 games compared to a typical line of 7.4. This +1.4 differential is substantial for strikeout props and represents genuine value, not just variance from one exceptional performance.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Tyler Glasnow strikeout overs against high-strikeout lineups or teams with poor plate discipline. Home starts at Dodger Stadium also provide slight advantages. Avoid when he's pitching on short rest or facing patient, contact-heavy offenses that work deep counts.