Steven Kwan's total bases prop presents a compelling under opportunity with a brutal 32.3% over rate across 93 games. His 1.61 average falls 0.5 bases short of the typical 2.07 line, generating +29.3% ROI on unders while overs hemorrhage -38.4%.
Expert Analysis
Steven Kwan's total bases struggles stem from his role as Cleveland's prototypical leadoff contact hitter who prioritizes getting on base over extra-base power. His 1.61 average against a 2.07 line reveals a fundamental mismatch between market expectations and reality. The 30-63 record isn't fluky variance—it reflects Kwan's skillset as a singles hitter who rarely doubles and almost never homers. His approach focuses on working counts, drawing walks, and putting the ball in play rather than driving it with authority. The 10-game under streak highlights how consistently he falls short of inflated lines that assume more power than he possesses. Books appear slow to adjust, creating sustained value on unders. The -38.4% ROI on overs demonstrates how punishing this market inefficiency has been for over bettors. Kwan's spray chart and exit velocity data would likely confirm he lacks the bat speed and launch angle consistency needed to regularly exceed 2+ total bases. His value comes from his on-base skills and speed, not his ability to accumulate bases via extra-base hits. This profile suggests the trend should persist as long as books continue setting lines that overestimate his power output.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Steven Kwan's total bases under presents elite value with a 67.7% hit rate and +29.3% ROI over 93 games. His contact-oriented approach and lack of power make him chronically overvalued by books setting lines around 2+ bases. Target this prop consistently, especially when lines reach 2.0 or higher, as Kwan's skillset simply doesn't align with multi-base expectations.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-10 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-06 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-02 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-01 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-30 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-24 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-23 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-22 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-21 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-20 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-18 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-17 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Total Bases Prop Lines
Compare Steven Kwan props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Steven Kwan's Total Bases prop record all games?
Steven Kwan has gone under his total bases prop in 63 of 93 games (67.7%) while going over just 30 times (32.3%). His under bets have generated a strong +29.3% ROI while overs have lost -38.4%, making this one of the most lopsided prop trends available.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Steven Kwan Total Bases all games?
Bet under on Steven Kwan's total bases props with high confidence. His 67.7% under rate and +29.3% ROI over 93 games represents exceptional value. His contact-oriented skillset consistently falls short of power-inflated lines, making unders the clear play.
What's Steven Kwan's average Total Bases all games?
Steven Kwan averages 1.61 total bases per game against a typical line of 2.07, creating a significant 0.5-base edge for under bettors. This gap reflects the market's overvaluation of his power potential versus his actual singles-heavy production profile.
How reliable is this trend?
Bet Steven Kwan total bases unders consistently, especially when lines reach 2.0 or higher. His contact-first approach makes him most valuable against power-assuming lines. The trend shows remarkable consistency across all game situations with no apparent weak spots.