Ozzie Albies has been a hits under goldmine over his last 10 games, posting a dismal 30% over rate while averaging just 1.0 hits against a 1.7 line. The under has delivered a robust 33.6% ROI with three consecutive cashes, making Albies a clear fade candidate for hits props.
Expert Analysis
Ozzie Albies's hits production has fallen off a cliff during this 10-game sample, creating one of the most reliable under trends in baseball. Averaging 1.0 hits per game against a consistent 1.7 line represents a massive 0.7-hit deficit that speaks to fundamental issues with his approach or health. The 30% over rate isn't just poor—it's historically bad for a player of Albies's caliber. What makes this trend particularly compelling is its consistency. Albies hasn't just had a few terrible games dragging down his average; he's been systematically underperforming expectations. The current three-game under streak aligns with his season-long struggles, suggesting this isn't variance but a genuine decline in hitting ability. The -42.7% ROI on overs tells the story of bettors who haven't adjusted to Albies's diminished state, while sharp money has capitalized on the 33.6% under returns. Without splits data to identify specific vulnerabilities, the trend appears universal across different game situations. The lack of any meaningful over streaks (longest is just two games) indicates Albies is consistently failing to reach his prop number regardless of matchup, making this one of the most bettable under trends available.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Albies's 0.7-hit deficit per game against his line is massive and shows no signs of regression. The three-game under streak and 70% under rate create exceptional value, especially when books haven't fully adjusted the line downward. Target this under in any matchup until Albies shows sustained improvement over multiple games.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-22 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-08 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-21 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-30 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Ozzie Albies's Hits prop record last 10 games?
Ozzie Albies has gone 3-7 over/under on his hits props in his last 10 games, hitting the over just 30% of the time. He's averaging only 1.0 hits per game against a typical line of 1.7 hits.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Ozzie Albies Hits last 10 games?
Bet the under on Ozzie Albies hits props. His 70% under rate and 0.7-hit deficit per game make this one of the strongest under trends available, delivering 33.6% ROI for under bettors.
What's Ozzie Albies's average Hits last 10 games?
Ozzie Albies is averaging 1.0 hits over his last 10 games compared to his typical 1.7 line. This 0.7-hit deficit represents a massive underperformance that has made under bets extremely profitable.
How reliable is this trend?
Bet Ozzie Albies hits unders consistently until he shows sustained improvement. The trend appears universal across matchups, making any game situation favorable for under bets given his current 70% under rate.