Nolan Schanuel's away Total Bases props present a compelling under opportunity with just 27.9% overs across 43 games. His 1.33 average sits a full base below typical 2.31 lines, generating +37.6% under ROI. This represents a clear systematic edge for disciplined under betting.
Expert Analysis
Schanuel's road struggles create a textbook example of market inefficiency in Total Bases props. The Angels first baseman averages just 1.33 total bases in away games, nearly a full base below standard pricing around 2.31. This isn't variance—it's a 43-game sample revealing fundamental road performance issues. Young hitters often struggle with unfamiliar environments, crowd noise, and disrupted routines that road games present. Schanuel's current three-game under streak extends a pattern where he's hit lengthy cold spells, including an eight-game under run that demonstrates how quickly these props can snowball. The -1.0 differential between his average and typical lines suggests oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to his road limitations. While regression toward league norms remains possible, first-year players typically need time to develop road comfort. The 27.9% over rate across this sample size indicates structural issues rather than temporary slumps. Most concerning for over bettors: Schanuel shows no signs of road improvement, making each away game a potential continuation of this profitable under trend.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Schanuel's 1.33 road average creates clear value when lines sit above 2.0, though the small sample size prevents maximum conviction. Target games where his Total Bases line exceeds 2.5 for optimal value, particularly in pitcher-friendly parks or against quality opposing starters. The primary risk involves natural progression as young players typically improve road performance throughout their careers.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-24 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-22 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-20 | OPP | 4.5 | 1.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-11 | OPP | 2.5 | 6.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-10 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-09 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-08 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-07 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-06 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-23 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-20 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-19 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-11 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Nolan Schanuel's Total Bases prop record away games?
Schanuel's Total Bases record in away games stands at 12-31-0 over/under (27.9% overs) across 43 games. This represents one of the more lopsided prop records, with unders hitting at nearly three times the rate of overs in road contests.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Nolan Schanuel Total Bases away games?
Bet under on Schanuel's Total Bases in away games, particularly when lines exceed 2.0. His 1.33 road average and +37.6% under ROI create clear value, though avoid maximum unit sizes due to potential regression as he develops.
What's Nolan Schanuel's average Total Bases away games?
Schanuel averages 1.33 Total Bases in away games compared to typical lines around 2.31, creating a significant -1.0 differential. This gap represents nearly a full base of value, explaining the strong under performance and +37.6% ROI.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Schanuel Total Bases unders when lines exceed 2.5 in road games, especially against quality starters or in pitcher-friendly ballparks. Avoid betting during hot streaks, as his eight-game under streak shows these props can quickly shift momentum.