Overall Home Runs: 4-30-0 O/U

11.8% Over Rate
0.12 Avg HR
0.5 Avg Line
-0.4 Avg vs Line
-77.5% Over ROI
34 Games
OVER 11.8%
UNDER 88.2%
Fade Overall Verdict: Fade — UNDER

🔥 Best Situation

Home Games

2-13 O/U (13.3% Over)

+-74.5% ROI

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📉 Worst Situation

Last 10 Games

1-9 O/U (10.0% Over)

-80.9% ROI

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Home Runs Over Rate by Situation

Over rate by situation. Green = above 55%, Red = below 45%, Gray = neutral.

All Home Runs Situations

Situation O/U Record Over % Avg Line Avg Actual Over ROI
All Games 4-30 11.8% 0.5 0.12 -77.5%
Away Games 2-17 10.5% 0.5 0.11 -79.9%
Home Games 2-13 13.3% 0.5 0.13 -74.5%
Last 10 Games 1-9 10.0% 0.5 0.1 -80.9%

Key Splits

Home vs Away

Home 13.3% Over
Away 10.5% Over

By Line Range

Line < -1.5 —% Over
Line > 2.5 —% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 —% Over
Last 10 10.0% Over

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Nick Castellanos's overall Home Runs prop record?

Nick Castellanos is 4-30 O/U on Home Runs props across all situations (11.8% over rate).

When does Nick Castellanos go OVER on Home Runs the most?

Nick Castellanos's best Home Runs situation is Home Games, where they hit the over 13.3% of the time.

What's Nick Castellanos's average Home Runs per game?

Nick Castellanos averages 0.12 HR per game vs an average line of 0.5.

Which situation should I avoid betting?

Last 10 Games is Nick Castellanos's worst Home Runs situation at just 10.0% over rate.

Methodology: Analysis covers 34 games. O/U results use closing lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Min 5-game sample per situation.