Myles Straw's total bases prop shows a solid 58.3% over rate across 12 games, hitting 7 of 12 overs with a +0.25 differential above the typical 0.83 line. The +11.4% ROI on overs suggests consistent value, making this a lean over opportunity.
Expert Analysis
Myles Straw's total bases performance reveals a player consistently exceeding modest expectations set by sportsbooks. His 1.08 average against a 0.83 line represents meaningful value, particularly for a contact-oriented leadoff hitter whose game is built on getting on base rather than power. The 58.3% over rate isn't overwhelming, but the +11.4% ROI indicates the market hasn't fully adjusted to Straw's ability to accumulate bases through singles and occasional doubles. As Cleveland's center fielder and table-setter, Straw benefits from regular plate appearances and a role that emphasizes reaching base safely. The current three-game over streak aligns with his season-long pattern of modest but consistent production. However, the limited sample size of 12 games and lack of split data creates some uncertainty about sustainability. Straw's profile suggests he's more likely to go 1-for-4 with a single than 0-for-4, which is exactly what total bases bettors need. The key risk lies in his ceiling—Straw rarely explodes for multiple extra-base hits, so overs typically come from consistent singles rather than big performances.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Straw's 1.08 average versus 0.83 line provides consistent value for a contact hitter who regularly reaches base. The +11.4% ROI suggests the market undervalues his base accumulation ability. Ideal conditions include games where Cleveland needs table-setting and Straw bats leadoff. Main risk is his low power ceiling limiting upside potential.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 12 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-09-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-08-15 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-08-06 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-08-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-07-26 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-07-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-07-21 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-07-16 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-06-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-06-18 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-06-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2023-06-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Myles Straw's Total Bases prop record all games?
Myles Straw's total bases prop record shows 7-5-0 over/under across 12 games, hitting overs at a 58.3% rate. This translates to a solid +11.4% ROI on over bets while under bets show a -20.4% return.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Myles Straw Total Bases all games?
Bet the over on Myles Straw's total bases props. His 1.08 average versus 0.83 typical line creates consistent value, supported by a 58.3% over rate and +11.4% ROI that indicates market inefficiency.
What's Myles Straw's average Total Bases all games?
Myles Straw averages 1.08 total bases per game across the 12-game sample. This exceeds the typical 0.83 line by 0.25 bases, representing meaningful value for a contact hitter's consistent production.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Straw's total bases overs when he's batting leadoff and Cleveland needs table-setting. His contact-oriented approach works best in games emphasizing getting on base rather than power situations or late-inning defensive substitutions.