Mookie Betts has been ice-cold at the plate, going under his hits prop in 9 of his last 10 games with a brutal 10.0% over rate. His 0.7 average sits a full 0.8 hits below the typical 1.5 line, creating exceptional under value with +71.8% ROI.
Expert Analysis
Mookie Betts is experiencing one of the most dramatic hitting slumps of his career, managing just 7 total hits across his last 10 games for a microscopic 0.7 average. This represents a stunning departure from his typical production, as Betts has built his reputation on consistency and contact ability throughout his career. The 10.0% over rate signals this isn't random variance but a sustained struggle that's persisted through different matchups and game situations. What makes this trend particularly compelling is the severity of the underperformance - falling 0.8 hits short of the standard 1.5 line indicates fundamental issues with timing, approach, or potentially minor injury concerns that haven't been publicly disclosed. The four-game under streak currently active suggests the struggles are deepening rather than showing signs of correction. While elite hitters like Betts typically regress toward career norms, the magnitude of this downturn and its persistence through multiple series indicates the market may be slow to adjust. The exceptional +71.8% under ROI demonstrates clear value exists, though regression risk remains the primary concern for continued under betting.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Mookie Betts's historic 10.0% over rate and 0.7 hits average create undeniable value on the under side, particularly with books likely slow to adjust lines for a player of his caliber. Target this trend in favorable pitcher matchups or when lines remain at 1.5 or higher. Primary risk is sudden regression to career norms, but the four-game active streak suggests continued struggles.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-28 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-19 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-18 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-17 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-16 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-15 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-13 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-04 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Mookie Betts's Hits prop record last 10 games?
Mookie Betts has gone 1-9-0 over/under on his hits prop in his last 10 games, hitting the over just once for a dismal 10.0% success rate while averaging only 0.7 hits per game during this stretch.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Mookie Betts Hits last 10 games?
Bet the under on Mookie Betts hits props with high confidence. His 10.0% over rate and 0.7 average create exceptional value, especially when lines remain at 1.5 or higher despite his prolonged struggles.
What's Mookie Betts's average Hits last 10 games?
Mookie Betts is averaging just 0.7 hits over his last 10 games, sitting 0.8 hits below the typical 1.5 line. This massive differential represents one of the largest gaps between performance and market expectations.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Mookie Betts under bets when facing quality starting pitching or when books maintain standard 1.5+ lines despite his struggles. Avoid in obvious bounce-back spots against weak pitching or in crucial playoff-type scenarios.