Miles Mastrobuoni presents an extreme home run under trend with a perfect 0-10-0 record against the 0.5 line over his last 10 games. The Cubs utility infielder has failed to clear the modest barrier in every appearance, generating a flawless -100% ROI for over bettors. This creates a compelling under opportunity.
Expert Analysis
Mastrobuoni's complete absence of home run production over this 10-game stretch reflects his fundamental profile as a contact-oriented utility player rather than a power threat. His 0.0 average against a 0.5 line reveals a player operating well below even the most conservative power expectations. The consistency of this trend—10 consecutive unders without a single over—suggests this isn't random variance but rather an accurate market reflection of Mastrobuoni's limited power ceiling. As a utility infielder for the Cubs, Mastrobuoni's role typically emphasizes defensive versatility and contact hitting over power production. The complete lack of split data actually reinforces the narrative, as it indicates minimal playing time and situational usage that rarely favors power opportunities. The perfect under record creates significant line value, as books may be slow to adjust the already-low 0.5 threshold. However, the small sample size and potential for a single swing to break the streak represents the primary risk. Mastrobuoni's profile suggests this trend should persist, particularly given his likely continued role as a situational player rather than an everyday starter with consistent at-bats in favorable counts.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Mastrobuoni's perfect 0-10 under record reflects his genuine lack of power rather than bad luck, making the 0.5 line still too generous for a utility player averaging zero home runs over this stretch. The trend should continue given his limited role and contact-first approach, though the modest line leaves little margin for a single breakthrough swing.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-17 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-16 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Miles Mastrobuoni's Home Runs prop record last 10 games?
Mastrobuoni has gone 0-10-0 on home run overs in his last 10 games, hitting zero home runs against a 0.5 line. This perfect under record has generated a -100% ROI for over bettors while under bettors enjoyed +90.9% returns.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Miles Mastrobuoni Home Runs last 10 games?
Bet the under on Mastrobuoni's home runs. His 0-10 record and zero home runs over this stretch reflect his utility role and contact-first profile rather than bad luck, making the 0.5 line still too generous for his limited power ceiling.
What's Miles Mastrobuoni's average Home Runs last 10 games?
Mastrobuoni is averaging exactly 0.0 home runs over his last 10 games against a 0.5 line, creating a -0.5 differential. This massive gap between production and expectation highlights how even the modest line overestimates his power output.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Mastrobuoni home run unders when he's in his utility role with limited at-bats, particularly against quality pitching. His contact-first profile and situational usage create consistent under value regardless of matchup specifics or ballpark factors.