Miles Mastrobuoni presents one of the most reliable under trends in baseball, going 0-13-0 on home run overs with a perfect 0.00 home run average against a 0.58 line. This utility infielder's contact-oriented approach and limited power make the under a high-conviction play.
Expert Analysis
Miles Mastrobuoni's home run prop represents a fundamental mismatch between market pricing and player profile. Across 13 tracked games, Mastrobuoni has never cleared his home run total, averaging 0.00 home runs while facing lines around 0.58. This isn't variance—it's player identity. Mastrobuoni profiles as a utility infielder focused on contact and situational hitting rather than power production. His swing mechanics and approach prioritize putting the ball in play over launch angle optimization. The Cubs utilize Mastrobuoni primarily for his defensive versatility and ability to work counts, not for offensive production. His limited plate appearances often come in specific situations where contact matters more than power. The 13-game sample, while not massive, spans over a year and includes various contexts—home, road, different pitching matchups, and lineup positions. The consistency of this trend suggests it's driven by skill set rather than circumstance. Sportsbooks continue pricing Mastrobuoni's home run props based on positional averages rather than individual ability, creating persistent value on the under. His swing path, exit velocity metrics, and historical minor league data all support a player unlikely to generate the power necessary for regular home run production at the major league level.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Mastrobuoni's 0-13-0 record reflects a fundamental skill mismatch rather than bad luck. His contact-first approach and utility role create consistent value on home run unders. The ideal condition is any game where his line sits above 0.5, as his power profile suggests he'll rarely threaten that threshold. The main risk is an unusually favorable ballpark or wind conditions coinciding with mistake pitches, but even then, Mastrobuoni's swing mechanics make home runs unlikely.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 13 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-17 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-16 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-15 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-07-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Miles Mastrobuoni's Home Runs prop record all games?
Miles Mastrobuoni's home run prop record shows perfect consistency at 0-13-0 on overs, meaning he has never exceeded his home run total in 13 tracked games. This represents a 0.0% over rate with -100% ROI on over bets and +90.9% ROI on under bets.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Miles Mastrobuoni Home Runs all games?
Bet the under on Miles Mastrobuoni's home runs with high confidence. His 0-13-0 record and 0.00 average against a 0.58 line reflect a contact-first player whose skill set doesn't align with home run production at the major league level.
What's Miles Mastrobuoni's average Home Runs all games?
Miles Mastrobuoni averages 0.00 home runs across 13 tracked games, creating a -0.6 differential against his typical 0.58 line. This massive gap between performance and market expectation represents one of baseball's most reliable under trends for home run props.
How reliable is this trend?
Bet Miles Mastrobuoni home run unders in any game where his line exceeds 0.5, particularly in neutral or pitcher-friendly ballparks. His contact-oriented profile makes unders valuable regardless of matchup, though avoid extreme hitter-friendly conditions with strong tailwinds.