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3-15 O/U Record
16.7% Over Rate
-12.3u Units Won
-68.2% ROI
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Max Schuemann's Total Bases prop at home presents a compelling under opportunity with just 16.7% overs across 18 games. His 0.89 average sits a massive 1.7 bases below the typical 2.56 line, generating +59.1% ROI on unders. The data strongly favors betting under.

Expert Analysis

Schuemann's home Total Bases performance reveals a systematic undervaluation by oddsmakers throughout 2024. His 0.89 average represents a player struggling to reach even single-base production consistently at the Coliseum, where Oakland's offensive environment has been particularly challenging. The 3-15-0 record isn't just poor luck—it reflects fundamental limitations in Schuemann's power profile and approach against varied pitching at home. The current five-game under streak and historical eight-game under streak demonstrate this isn't random variance but a persistent pattern. Oakland's home park factors, combined with Schuemann's contact-oriented profile that rarely produces extra-base hits, create a perfect storm for under performance. The -68.2% ROI on overs tells the story of bettors consistently overestimating his ceiling, while the +59.1% under ROI rewards those who recognize his floor. Most concerning for over bettors is the complete absence of any meaningful hot streaks—his longest over run was just one game. This suggests Schuemann lacks the power upside that typically drives Total Bases props higher, making him a reliable under target in home contests where familiarity should theoretically help his offensive production.

Betting Verdict

UNDER with HIGH confidence. Schuemann's 0.89 home average creates a 1.7-base cushion below typical lines, supported by an overwhelming 83.3% under rate. The combination of Oakland's challenging home environment and his contact-first approach makes this one of the most reliable under trends available. Primary risk is an unusually favorable matchup against struggling pitching, but even then his power limitations cap the upside.

3 OVERS (16.7%)
15 UNDERS
0% 50% breakeven 100%

Performance vs Line

Game Log (Last 15 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result
2024-09-22 OPP 2.5 0.0 -2.5 UNDER
2024-09-06 OPP 3.5 0.0 -3.5 UNDER
2024-08-24 OPP 1.5 0.0 -1.5 UNDER
2024-08-22 OPP 4.5 0.0 -4.5 UNDER
2024-07-22 OPP 4.5 2.0 -2.5 UNDER
2024-07-20 OPP 1.5 2.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-07-03 OPP 4.5 4.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-07-02 OPP 1.5 1.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-06-22 OPP 2.5 0.0 -2.5 UNDER
2024-06-20 OPP 1.5 1.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-06-06 OPP 2.5 0.0 -2.5 UNDER
2024-06-05 OPP 2.5 0.0 -2.5 UNDER
2024-05-25 OPP 4.5 0.0 -4.5 UNDER
2024-05-24 OPP 1.5 0.0 -1.5 UNDER
2024-05-23 OPP 3.5 4.0 +0.5 OVER

Key Splits

Home vs Away

Home 16.7% Over
Away 50.0% Over

Favorite vs Underdog

Favorite 50.0% Over
Underdog 50.0% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 0.0% Over
Last 10 10.0% Over

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Max Schuemann's Total Bases prop record home games?

Schuemann has gone 3-15-0 over/under on Total Bases props in home games, hitting just 16.7% overs across 18 contests. His 0.89 average falls 1.7 bases short of the typical 2.56 line, creating a massive gap for under bettors to exploit consistently.

Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Max Schuemann Total Bases home games?

Bet under on Schuemann's Total Bases at home with high confidence. The 83.3% under rate and +59.1% ROI provide compelling evidence, while his 0.89 average creates substantial cushion below standard lines. This represents one of the most reliable under trends available.

What's Max Schuemann's average Total Bases home games?

Schuemann averages just 0.89 Total Bases in home games, falling 1.7 bases below the typical 2.56 line. This massive differential of 65.2% below expectations demonstrates why unders have hit at an 83.3% clip throughout the 2024 season.

How reliable is this trend?

Target Schuemann's Total Bases unders in any home game, particularly against quality pitching where his contact limitations are most exposed. His pattern shows consistency regardless of matchup, making every home contest a viable under opportunity with minimal situational requirements.

Methodology: This analysis covers 18 games from 2024-04-17 to 2024-09-22. O/U results use closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Pushes excluded from percentages.